Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$785.2

Combined PnL

$113.55

Down

1 of 2 top traders (50%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down1 trader

Total Value$319.84

Total Shares320

Combined PnL+$146

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares106

Combined PnL-$32.45

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100	Downavg 66.9¢	$258.81	$221.53	-$37.28	57% 6585-4873 (11458)
└ Down leg	Downavg 66.9¢	$148.1	$221.53	+$73.43
└ Up leg	Upavg 37.9¢	$110.71	—	-$110.71
TM tmsd-test	Downavg 52.3¢	$173.84	$319.84	+$146	54% 14387-12207 (26594)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Downavg 63.1¢	$159.2	$161.55	+$2.35	64% 57632-32371 (90003)
└ Down leg	Downavg 63.1¢	$102	$161.55	+$59.55
└ Up leg	Upavg 28.6¢	$57.2	—	-$57.2
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 53.3¢	$56.54	$82.28	+$25.74	51% 6935-6621 (13556)
└ Down leg	Downavg 53.3¢	$43.88	$82.28	+$38.4
└ Up leg	Upavg 16.8¢	$12.66	—	-$12.66
AN Anon455CTR<$100	Upavg 29.8¢	$32.45	—	-$32.45	56% 2640-2094 (4734)