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Polkadot-FrogDownDownUpDown
BoneOhio<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$216.99
Combined PnL
$9.55
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$216.99
Total Shares217
Combined PnL+$16.78
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares43
Combined PnL-$7.24
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 79.7¢ | $161.66 | $149.31 | -$12.35 | 64% 57804-32541 (90345) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 47.6¢ | $22.98 | $44.02 | +$21.04 | 57% 6602-4890 (11492) |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Upavg 16.8¢ | $7.24 | — | -$7.24 | 56% 2679-2115 (4794) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 46.7¢ | $7 | $15 | +$8 | 51% 7002-6680 (13682) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $8.56 | $8.65 | +$0.09 | 74% 102231-36345 (138576) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$161.66
Value
$149.31
PnL
-$12.35
Record
64%
57804-32541 (90345)
PE
peepeepoopoo24<$100Invested
$22.98
Value
$44.02
PnL
+$21.04
Record
57%
6602-4890 (11492)
AN
Anon455CTR<$100Invested
$7.24
Value
—
PnL
-$7.24
Record
56%
2679-2115 (4794)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$7
Value
$15
PnL
+$8
Record
51%
7002-6680 (13682)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$8.56
Value
$8.65
PnL
+$0.09
Record
74%
102231-36345 (138576)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8f198e74...9fc34f
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-28-2026-11pm-et