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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET
Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 33%
Total Value
$180.7
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 6 top traders (33%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6f422a11...f6126a
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-20-2026-4pm-et