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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 80%
Total Value
$569.74
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
6 of 7 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9922bcee...93060e
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-18-2026-2am-et