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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 6AM ET
Resolved Up. 83.33333333333333% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83.33333333333333%
Total Value
$482.15
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83.33333333333333%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfa87bdde...766774
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-16-2026-6am-et