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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9AM ET

Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Down 88%

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

$34.84

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares1,588

Combined PnL+$28.33

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares312

Combined PnL+$6.51

Down — 88%Up — 12%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 76.9¢	$999.26	$1.0K	+$9.02	49% 3600-3701 (7301)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.8¢	$521.95	$500	+$3	54% 4162-3504 (7666)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 98.5¢	$495.39	$37.99	+$1.18	51% 2506-2369 (4875)
EA Eager47259<$100	Downavg 78¢	$12.09	$15.5	+$3.41	48% 222-236 (458)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Downavg 74¢	$7.77	$10.5	+$2.73	49% 932-964 (1896)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 45¢	$16.25	$10	+$6.05	60% 4192-2848 (7040)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 51¢	$3.06	$6	+$2.94	50% 955-949 (1904)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Upavg 8.8¢	$40.49	—	+$6.51	45% 88-106 (194)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$999.26

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$9.02

Record

49%

3600-3701 (7301)

Invested

$521.95

Value

$500

PnL

+$3

Record

54%

4162-3504 (7666)

Invested

$495.39

Value

$37.99

PnL

+$1.18

Record

51%

2506-2369 (4875)

Eager47259<$100

Invested

$12.09

Value

$15.5

PnL

+$3.41

Record

48%

222-236 (458)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$7.77

Value

$10.5

PnL

+$2.73

Record

49%

932-964 (1896)

Invested

$16.25

Value

$10

PnL

+$6.05

Record

60%

4192-2848 (7040)

Invested

$3.06

Value

$6

PnL

+$2.94

Record

50%

955-949 (1904)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100

Invested

$40.49

Value

—

PnL

+$6.51

Record

45%

88-106 (194)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfd6ec28f...4576c3

Slug

ethereum-up-or-down-november-15-2026-9am-et

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $1.0K

ByteBadger92

Down — $500

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $37.99

Eager47259

Down — $15.5

peepeepoopoo24

Down — $10.5

aaa221

Down — $10

PBot-6

Down — $6

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $0

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