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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.8K

Combined PnL

-$386.52

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares1,350

Combined PnL-$157.84

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares574

Combined PnL-$228.67

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 66¢	$1.3K	$1.1K	-$136.07	49% 3684-3801 (7485)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 51.4¢	$530.73	$496.59	-$6.92	54% 4350-3681 (8031)
└ Up leg	Upavg 51.4¢	$255.21	$496.59	+$246.7
└ Down leg	Downavg 48.4¢	$244.75	—	-$253.62
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 84.1¢	$140.29	$166.75	+$26.47	51% 2246-2136 (4382)
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR	Downavg 46.5¢	$116.89	—	-$116.89	49% 960-1012 (1972)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 61.3¢	$44.85	$60	+$16.29	60% 4328-2942 (7270)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 87.6¢	$257.11	$19.29	-$64.59	51% 2609-2462 (5071)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 13.9¢	$27.52	—	-$17.64	54% 2777-2356 (5133)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$35.3	—	-$35.3	50% 1006-996 (2002)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	70% 1877-817 (2694)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Downavg 18.8¢	$58.85	—	-$58.85	46% 96-112 (208)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$1,284.69

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$136.07

Record

49%

3684-3801 (7485)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$530.73

Value

$496.59

PnL

-$6.92

Record

54%

4350-3681 (8031)

Both legs:

Up$255.2151.4¢+$246.7

Down$244.7548.4¢-$253.62

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$140.29

Value

$166.75

PnL

+$26.47

Record

51%

2246-2136 (4382)

peepeepoopoo24CTR

Invested

$116.89

Value

—

PnL

-$116.89

Record

49%

960-1012 (1972)

Invested

$44.85

Value

$60

PnL

+$16.29

Record

60%

4328-2942 (7270)

Invested

$257.11

Value

$19.29

PnL

-$64.59

Record

51%

2609-2462 (5071)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$27.52

Value

—

PnL

-$17.64

Record

54%

2777-2356 (5133)

Invested

$35.3

Value

—

PnL

-$35.3

Record

50%

1006-996 (2002)

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

70%

1877-817 (2694)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100

Invested

$58.85

Value

—

PnL

-$58.85

Record

46%

96-112 (208)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x35ea74e0...17ba30

Slug

ethereum-up-or-down-november-15-2026-3pm-et

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $1.1K

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $166.75

peepeepoopoo24

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $60

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $19.29

ply-pm2

Down — $0

PBot-6

Down — $0

BoneOhio

Up — $5

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $0

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