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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1PM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 78%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.3K

Combined PnL

$38.69

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$3.8K

Total Shares3,753

Combined PnL+$98.72

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares93

Combined PnL-$60.02

Up — 78%Down — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 55.4¢	$3.2K	$2.9K	-$279	49% 3651-3756 (7407)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.1¢	$526.38	$499.59	+$3.38	54% 4282-3627 (7909)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.1¢	$250.16	$499.59	+$251.22
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.5¢	$244.39	—	-$247.84
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 44.6¢	$205.93	$462	+$256.07	46% 94-110 (204)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Upavg 53.8¢	$169.03	$243.84	+$74.81	49% 950-986 (1936)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 61.5¢	$195.92	$48.97	+$47.73	51% 2574-2433 (5007)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 95.8¢	$67.07	$31.1	-$21.57	54% 2739-2328 (5067)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$41.13	—	-$41.13	50% 986-979 (1965)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 22.6¢	$6.02	$26.65	+$20.63	50% 1774-1809 (3583)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 99¢	$5	$5.05	+$0.05	70% 1855-804 (2659)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 49.2¢	$53.72	—	-$18.9	60% 4284-2912 (7196)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$3,217.42

Value

$2.9K

PnL

-$279

Record

49%

3651-3756 (7407)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$526.38

Value

$499.59

PnL

+$3.38

Record

54%

4282-3627 (7909)

Both legs:

Up$250.1650.1¢+$251.22

Down$244.3949.5¢-$247.84

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$205.93

Value

$462

PnL

+$256.07

Record

46%

94-110 (204)

Invested

$169.03

Value

$243.84

PnL

+$74.81

Record

49%

950-986 (1936)

Invested

$195.92

Value

$48.97

PnL

+$47.73

Record

51%

2574-2433 (5007)

Invested

$67.07

Value

$31.1

PnL

-$21.57

Record

54%

2739-2328 (5067)

Invested

$41.13

Value

—

PnL

-$41.13

Record

50%

986-979 (1965)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$6.02

Value

$26.65

PnL

+$20.63

Record

50%

1774-1809 (3583)

Invested

$5

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.05

Record

70%

1855-804 (2659)

Invested

$53.72

Value

—

PnL

-$18.9

Record

60%

4284-2912 (7196)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x57767b91...9ffa59

Slug

ethereum-up-or-down-november-15-2026-1pm-et

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $2.9K

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $462

peepeepoopoo24

Up — $243.84

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $48.97

ply-pm2

Up — $31.1

PBot-6

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $26.65

BoneOhio

Up — $5.05

aaa221

Down — $0

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