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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11AM ET

Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

7

Up 71%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

-$22.74

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,544

Combined PnL-$154.11

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares187

Combined PnL+$131.37

Up — 71%Down — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 73.4¢	$1.2K	$917.85	-$248.18	49% 3629-3730 (7359)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.7¢	$538.58	$490	-$0.79	54% 4218-3562 (7780)
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100	Upavg 84.9¢	$116.82	$69.8	-$47.03	49% 938-977 (1915)
└ Up leg	Upavg 84.9¢	$59.26	$69.8	+$10.54
└ Down leg	Downavg 29.6¢	$57.57	—	-$57.57
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 81.8¢	$371.14	$50	+$52.71	51% 2540-2400 (4940)
MO mo-money<$100	Upavg 29¢	$23.83	$46.72	+$55.06	52% 1673-1561 (3234)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 68.1¢	$81.42	$39.26	-$12.91	60% 4239-2880 (7119)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 45.9¢	$24.34	—	-$16.96	54% 2708-2292 (5000)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR	Downavg 14.4¢	$131.23	—	+$148.33	46% 92-106 (198)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$1,166.04

Value

$917.85

PnL

-$248.18

Record

49%

3629-3730 (7359)

Invested

$538.58

Value

$490

PnL

-$0.79

Record

54%

4218-3562 (7780)

peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100

Invested

$116.82

Value

$69.8

PnL

-$47.03

Record

49%

938-977 (1915)

Both legs:

Up$59.2684.9¢+$10.54

Down$57.5729.6¢-$57.57

Invested

$371.14

Value

$50

PnL

+$52.71

Record

51%

2540-2400 (4940)

Invested

$23.83

Value

$46.72

PnL

+$55.06

Record

52%

1673-1561 (3234)

Invested

$81.42

Value

$39.26

PnL

-$12.91

Record

60%

4239-2880 (7119)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$24.34

Value

—

PnL

-$16.96

Record

54%

2708-2292 (5000)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR

Invested

$131.23

Value

—

PnL

+$148.33

Record

46%

92-106 (198)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x24010e30...9e9ae0

Slug

ethereum-up-or-down-november-15-2026-11am-et

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $917.85

ByteBadger92

Up — $490

peepeepoopoo24

Arbitrage — excluded

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $50

mo-money

Up — $46.72

aaa221

Up — $39.26

ply-pm2

Down — $0

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $0

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