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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7AM ET

Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Down 78%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

-$5.83

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,508

Combined PnL+$134.14

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares549

Combined PnL-$139.97

Down — 78%Up — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 70.7¢	$679.05	$776.28	+$97.23	50% 2996-2942 (5938)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.7¢	$512.45	$500.46	-$0.83	54% 3273-2778 (6051)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 75.5¢	$98.89	$100	+$20.43	52% 2098-1948 (4046)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 67.8¢	$45.96	$59.99	+$15.33	60% 3515-2365 (5880)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Downavg 78.3¢	$53.82	$52.69	-$1.13	49% 853-882 (1735)
EA Eager47259<$100	Downavg 80¢	$12.32	$15.4	+$3.08	49% 191-195 (386)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 99¢	$2.97	$3	+$0.03	71% 1495-608 (2103)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 47¢	$34.62	—	-$34.62	50% 1805-1780 (3585)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR	Upavg 22.2¢	$105.34	—	-$105.34	45% 54-65 (119)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$679.05

Value

$776.28

PnL

+$97.23

Record

50%

2996-2942 (5938)

Invested

$512.45

Value

$500.46

PnL

-$0.83

Record

54%

3273-2778 (6051)

Invested

$98.89

Value

$100

PnL

+$20.43

Record

52%

2098-1948 (4046)

Invested

$45.96

Value

$59.99

PnL

+$15.33

Record

60%

3515-2365 (5880)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$53.82

Value

$52.69

PnL

-$1.13

Record

49%

853-882 (1735)

Eager47259<$100

Invested

$12.32

Value

$15.4

PnL

+$3.08

Record

49%

191-195 (386)

Invested

$2.97

Value

$3

PnL

+$0.03

Record

71%

1495-608 (2103)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$34.62

Value

—

PnL

-$34.62

Record

50%

1805-1780 (3585)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR

Invested

$105.34

Value

—

PnL

-$105.34

Record

45%

54-65 (119)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa938f9c1...adc0cd

Slug

ethereum-up-or-down-november-14-2026-7am-et

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $776.28

ByteBadger92

Down — $500.46

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $100

aaa221

Down — $59.99

peepeepoopoo24

Down — $52.69

Eager47259

Down — $15.4

BoneOhio

Down — $3

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $0

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