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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6PM ET

Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

5

Up 40%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

-$8.37

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up2 traders

Total Value$276.75

Total Shares277

Combined PnL+$142.94

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares344

Combined PnL-$151.31

Up — 40%Down — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Upavg 73.1¢	$645.11	$486.19	-$158.92	51% 3248-3166 (6414)
└ Down leg	Downavg 34.1¢	$289.84	—	-$289.84
└ Up leg	Upavg 73.1¢	$355.27	$486.19	+$130.92
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.8¢	$509	$490	+$1.8	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.8¢	$249.12	—	-$249
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$244.9	$490	+$250.8
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 97.7¢	$378.91	$252.75	+$71.66	47% 69-77 (146)
PB PBot-6CTR	Downavg 47¢	$109.79	—	-$109.79	50% 832-828 (1660)
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100	Upavg 77¢	$118.43	$105	-$13.43	49% 883-907 (1790)
└ Down leg	Downavg 32.2¢	$37.58	—	-$37.58
└ Up leg	Upavg 77¢	$80.85	$105	+$24.15
AN Anon455CTR<$100	Downavg 29¢	$23.55	—	-$23.55	49% 429-439 (868)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 35¢	$17.97	—	-$17.97	59% 3783-2578 (6361)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 52.7¢	$122.99	$24	+$71.28	52% 2247-2098 (4345)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100

Invested

$645.11

Value

$486.19

PnL

-$158.92

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

Both legs:

Down$289.8434.1¢-$289.84

Up$355.2773.1¢+$130.92

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$509

Value

$490

PnL

+$1.8

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

Both legs:

Down$249.1249.8¢-$249

Up$244.950¢+$250.8

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$378.91

Value

$252.75

PnL

+$71.66

Record

47%

69-77 (146)

Invested

$109.79

Value

—

PnL

-$109.79

Record

50%

832-828 (1660)

peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100

Invested

$118.43

Value

$105

PnL

-$13.43

Record

49%

883-907 (1790)

Both legs:

Down$37.5832.2¢-$37.58

Up$80.8577¢+$24.15

Anon455CTR<$100

Invested

$23.55

Value

—

PnL

-$23.55

Record

49%

429-439 (868)

Invested

$17.97

Value

—

PnL

-$17.97

Record

59%

3783-2578 (6361)

Invested

$122.99

Value

$24

PnL

+$71.28

Record

52%

2247-2098 (4345)

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x73acbc25...f0a5b6

Slug

ethereum-up-or-down-november-14-2026-6pm-et

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Arbitrage — excluded

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $252.75

PBot-6

Down — $0

peepeepoopoo24

Arbitrage — excluded

Anon455

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $24

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