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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5AM ET

Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Down 44%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$774.3

Combined PnL

-$1.36

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 9 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders
Total Value$575.65
Total Shares576
Combined PnL+$19.13
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares338
Combined PnL-$20.5
Down — 44%Up — 56%
BY
ByteBadger92
Down

Invested

$518.12

Value

$495.01

PnL

-$2.38

Record

54%

3222-2710 (5932)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$159.81

Value

$198.65

PnL

+$38.83

Record

51%

2945-2881 (5826)

Both legs:

Down$148.4274.7¢+$50.23
Up$11.45.4¢-$11.4
Polkadot-Frog<$100
Down

Invested

$61.17

Value

$64.3

PnL

+$23.12

Record

52%

2057-1924 (3981)

PE
peepeepoopoo24<$100
Down

Invested

$13.32

Value

$11.67

PnL

-$1.65

Record

49%

849-874 (1723)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$4.63

Value

$4.68

PnL

+$0.05

Record

71%

1465-598 (2063)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.1

Value

—

PnL

-$4.1

Record

60%

3476-2322 (5798)

EA
Eager47259CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$11.97

Value

—

PnL

-$8.29

Record

49%

189-193 (382)

PB
PBot-6CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.68

Value

—

PnL

-$1.68

Record

50%

725-729 (1454)

AN
Anon455CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.41

Value

—

PnL

-$0.41

Record

49%

416-425 (841)

0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.02

Value

—

PnL

-$6.02

Record

44%

51-64 (115)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x6cf01f45...2f306a
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-november-14-2026-5am-et

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

Down — $495.01

-$2.38
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$38.83

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $64.3

+$23.12
PE

peepeepoopoo24

Down — $11.67

-$1.65

BoneOhio

Down — $4.68

+$0.05
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.1
EA

Eager47259

CTR

Up — $0

-$8.29
PB

PBot-6

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.68
AN

Anon455

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.41
0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.02
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