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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Down 50%

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

-$96.04

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,244

Combined PnL+$66.36

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares693

Combined PnL-$162.41

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 78.5¢	$472.71	$545.51	+$72.8	51% 2884-2810 (5694)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 51.2¢	$523.77	$495	+$1.46	55% 3148-2619 (5767)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Downavg 77¢	$133.81	$119.69	-$13.05	49% 841-865 (1706)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 76¢	$48.4	$58.76	+$10.36	60% 3392-2277 (5669)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 91.2¢	$131.41	$25	-$5.21	51% 2002-1886 (3888)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Upavg 10¢	$9.99	—	-$9.99	49% 1252-1281 (2533)
AL almachCTR<$100	Upavg 10.7¢	$6.54	—	-$6.54	50% 1264-1258 (2522)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Upavg 11.8¢	$5.9	—	-$5.9	51% 4508-4382 (8890)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 48.5¢	$28.13	—	-$28.13	50% 1717-1721 (3438)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR	Upavg 23.6¢	$111.85	—	-$111.85	43% 46-61 (107)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$472.71

Value

$545.51

PnL

+$72.8

Record

51%

2884-2810 (5694)

Invested

$523.77

Value

$495

PnL

+$1.46

Record

55%

3148-2619 (5767)

Invested

$133.81

Value

$119.69

PnL

-$13.05

Record

49%

841-865 (1706)

Invested

$48.4

Value

$58.76

PnL

+$10.36

Record

60%

3392-2277 (5669)

Invested

$131.41

Value

$25

PnL

-$5.21

Record

51%

2002-1886 (3888)

mo-moneyCTR<$100

Invested

$9.99

Value

—

PnL

-$9.99

Record

49%

1252-1281 (2533)

Invested

$6.54

Value

—

PnL

-$6.54

Record

50%

1264-1258 (2522)

Invested

$5.9

Value

—

PnL

-$5.9

Record

51%

4508-4382 (8890)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$28.13

Value

—

PnL

-$28.13

Record

50%

1717-1721 (3438)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR

Invested

$111.85

Value

—

PnL

-$111.85

Record

43%

46-61 (107)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x4070675a...ab6ccf

Slug

ethereum-up-or-down-november-14-2026-2am-et

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $545.51

ByteBadger92

Down — $495

peepeepoopoo24

Down — $119.69

aaa221

Down — $58.76

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $25

mo-money

Up — $0

almach

Up — $0

bosona

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $0

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