Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 60%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$735.31

Combined PnL

-$81.29

Down

3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Up0%

Down100%

Down3 traders

Total Value$154.31

Total Shares154

Combined PnL+$15.54

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares249

Combined PnL-$96.83

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.9¢	$540.09	$495	-$10.9	54% 3849-3219 (7068)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$246.83	$495	+$246.55
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.1¢	$245.7	—	-$257.45
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Downavg 59.6¢	$73.76	$86	+$12.24	50% 3397-3361 (6758)
└ Down leg	Downavg 59.6¢	$51.27	$86	+$34.73
└ Up leg	Upavg 17.4¢	$22.49	—	-$22.49
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Downavg 69.6¢	$79.08	$93.96	+$14.88	49% 892-926 (1818)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 70¢	$180.39	$55.35	-$2.64	51% 2336-2212 (4548)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 34¢	$1.7	$5	+$3.3	50% 1655-1677 (3332)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 60¢	$3.23	—	-$3.23	60% 3949-2687 (6636)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR	Upavg 35.5¢	$110.97	—	-$93.61	45% 74-92 (166)