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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10AM ET

Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Down 50%

Total Value

$954.85

Combined PnL

-$367.11

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 9 top traders (44%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$954.85

Total Shares955

Combined PnL+$282.54

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,013

Combined PnL-$649.65

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 70.4¢	$410.34	$555.77	+$145.43	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 48.8¢	$513.08	—	-$494.2	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Downavg 53.2¢	$140.6	$184.12	+$43.52	49% 861-889 (1750)
PB PBot-6	Downavg 47.5¢	$88.5	$186.17	+$97.67	50% 770-773 (1543)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 37.8¢	$90.76	—	-$90.76	52% 2153-1992 (4145)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 87.2¢	$51.95	$28.79	-$4.08	59% 3587-2446 (6033)
AN Anon455CTR<$100	Upavg 14¢	$22.66	—	-$22.66	50% 421-428 (849)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Upavg 20.3¢	$36.12	—	-$35.22	46% 58-69 (127)
EA Eager47259CTR<$100	Upavg 59¢	$11.8	—	-$6.8	50% 195-197 (392)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$410.34

Value

$555.77

PnL

+$145.43

Record

50%

3041-2991 (6032)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$513.08

Value

—

PnL

-$494.2

Record

54%

3373-2881 (6254)

Invested

$140.6

Value

$184.12

PnL

+$43.52

Record

49%

861-889 (1750)

Invested

$88.5

Value

$186.17

PnL

+$97.67

Record

50%

770-773 (1543)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100

Invested

$90.76

Value

—

PnL

-$90.76

Record

52%

2153-1992 (4145)

Invested

$51.95

Value

$28.79

PnL

-$4.08

Record

59%

3587-2446 (6033)

Anon455CTR<$100

Invested

$22.66

Value

—

PnL

-$22.66

Record

50%

421-428 (849)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100

Invested

$36.12

Value

—

PnL

-$35.22

Record

46%

58-69 (127)

Eager47259CTR<$100

Invested

$11.8

Value

—

PnL

-$6.8

Record

50%

195-197 (392)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 9 top traders (44%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x65725c5d...d6c64b

Slug

ethereum-up-or-down-november-14-2026-10am-et

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $555.77

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

peepeepoopoo24

Down — $184.12

PBot-6

Down — $186.17

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $0

aaa221

Down — $28.79

Anon455

Up — $0

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $0

Eager47259

Up — $0

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