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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10PM ET

Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Down 89%

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

$352.92

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$2.7K

Total Shares2,711

Combined PnL+$363.37

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares60

Combined PnL-$10.45

Down — 89%Up — 11%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 74.1¢	$1.3K	$1.6K	+$288.83	51% 2812-2714 (5526)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 51.1¢	$524.79	$498.13	-$0.84	55% 3034-2491 (5525)
PB PBot-6	Downavg 46.8¢	$113.5	$242.49	+$128.99	50% 673-674 (1347)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Downavg 99¢	$336.83	$160	-$152.48	44% 42-53 (95)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Downavg 59.9¢	$78.38	$125	+$46.62	49% 827-855 (1682)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 76¢	$46.83	$58.94	+$13.35	60% 3298-2213 (5511)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 54.8¢	$62.12	$27.61	+$34.9	51% 1930-1826 (3756)
EA Eager47259<$100	Downavg 75.4¢	$12.25	$16.25	+$4	50% 182-185 (367)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 24.4¢	$20.45	—	-$10.45	48% 1324-1417 (2741)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$1,293.55

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$288.83

Record

51%

2812-2714 (5526)

Invested

$524.79

Value

$498.13

PnL

-$0.84

Record

55%

3034-2491 (5525)

Invested

$113.5

Value

$242.49

PnL

+$128.99

Record

50%

673-674 (1347)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$336.83

Value

$160

PnL

-$152.48

Record

44%

42-53 (95)

Invested

$78.38

Value

$125

PnL

+$46.62

Record

49%

827-855 (1682)

Invested

$46.83

Value

$58.94

PnL

+$13.35

Record

60%

3298-2213 (5511)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$62.12

Value

$27.61

PnL

+$34.9

Record

51%

1930-1826 (3756)

Eager47259<$100

Invested

$12.25

Value

$16.25

PnL

+$4

Record

50%

182-185 (367)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$20.45

Value

—

PnL

-$10.45

Record

48%

1324-1417 (2741)

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x806d7f2b...529a50

Slug

ethereum-up-or-down-november-13-2026-10pm-et

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $1.6K

ByteBadger92

Down — $498.13

PBot-6

Down — $242.49

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $160

peepeepoopoo24

Down — $125

aaa221

Down — $58.94

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $27.61

Eager47259

Down — $16.25

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

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