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Up
Polkadot-FrogUpDownUpDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$593.68
Combined PnL
-$101.53
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$593.68
Total Shares594
Combined PnL+$9.13
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares219
Combined PnL-$110.67
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 81¢ | $386.37 | $362.72 | -$23.65 | 50% 917-899 (1816) |
Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 64.4¢ | $184.79 | $201.96 | +$17.99 | 53% 851-764 (1615) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $77.26 | — | -$77.26 | 48% 1202-1284 (2486) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $14.21 | $29 | +$14.79 | 45% 722-869 (1591) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 53.3¢ | $20.55 | — | -$20.55 | 53% 931-840 (1771) |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.5¢ | $12.85 | — | -$12.85 | 45% 175-217 (392) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$386.37
Value
$362.72
PnL
-$23.65
Record
50%
917-899 (1816)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$184.79
Value
$201.96
PnL
+$17.99
Record
53%
851-764 (1615)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$77.26
Value
—
PnL
-$77.26
Record
48%
1202-1284 (2486)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100Invested
$14.21
Value
$29
PnL
+$14.79
Record
45%
722-869 (1591)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$20.55
Value
—
PnL
-$20.55
Record
53%
931-840 (1771)
AN
Anon455CTR<$100Invested
$12.85
Value
—
PnL
-$12.85
Record
45%
175-217 (392)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2f76f556...ce0409
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-november-11-2026-2am-et