Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
-$311.92
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 59.3Β’ | $971.36 | $1.1K | +$79.04 | 52% 789-736 (1525) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR | Upavg 35.4Β’ | $341.36 | β | -$341.36 | 53% 728-635 (1363) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 44.3Β’ | $50.76 | β | -$50.76 | 44% 595-762 (1357) |
MO mo-moneyARB<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $41.02 | $45.01 | +$3.99 | 42% 378-516 (894) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 36.7Β’ | $16.52 | $45.01 | +$28.49 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49Β’ | $24.5 | β | -$24.5 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 47Β’ | $17.45 | $35 | +$17.55 | 53% 766-685 (1451) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $18.68 | β | -$18.68 | 43% 374-503 (877) |
AN Anon455<$100 | Downavg 88Β’ | $4.4 | $5 | +$0.6 | 43% 165-215 (380) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 32Β’ | $3.2 | β | +$1.69 | 58% 1179-851 (2030) |
Invested
$971.36
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$79.04
Record
52%
789-736 (1525)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$341.36
Value
β
PnL
-$341.36
Record
53%
728-635 (1363)
Invested
$50.76
Value
β
PnL
-$50.76
Record
44%
595-762 (1357)
Invested
$41.02
Value
$45.01
PnL
+$3.99
Record
42%
378-516 (894)
Both legs:
Invested
$17.45
Value
$35
PnL
+$17.55
Record
53%
766-685 (1451)
Invested
$18.68
Value
β
PnL
-$18.68
Record
43%
374-503 (877)
Invested
$4.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.6
Record
43%
165-215 (380)
Invested
$3.2
Value
β
PnL
+$1.69
Record
58%
1179-851 (2030)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $1.1K

Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
mo-money
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
Down β $35
almach
CTRUp β $0
Anon455
Down β $5
ByteBadger92
Down β $0