Back to Markets
Up
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100UpDownDown
BoneOhio<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2AM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 33%
Total Value
$141.24
Combined PnL
-$372.42
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares555
Combined PnL-$451.18
Down4 traders
Total Value$141.24
Total Shares141
Combined PnL+$78.76
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Upavg 49.4¢ | $363.37 | — | -$363.37 | 53% 564-506 (1070) |
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 45.3¢ | $87.9 | — | -$87.81 | 53% 505-440 (945) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $29.21 | $76.16 | +$51.26 | 53% 536-466 (1002) |
AN Anon455<$100 | Downavg 47.7¢ | $21.45 | $45 | +$23.55 | 42% 146-205 (351) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 98.7¢ | $13.79 | $13.97 | +$0.18 | 78% 315-87 (402) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 19.1¢ | $19.67 | $6.11 | +$3.77 | 58% 736-544 (1280) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTRInvested
$363.37
Value
—
PnL
-$363.37
Record
53%
564-506 (1070)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$87.9
Value
—
PnL
-$87.81
Record
53%
505-440 (945)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$29.21
Value
$76.16
PnL
+$51.26
Record
53%
536-466 (1002)
AN
Anon455<$100Invested
$21.45
Value
$45
PnL
+$23.55
Record
42%
146-205 (351)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$13.79
Value
$13.97
PnL
+$0.18
Record
78%
315-87 (402)
BY
ByteBadger92<$100Invested
$19.67
Value
$6.11
PnL
+$3.77
Record
58%
736-544 (1280)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xc9788bcc...9df2bc
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-november-10-2026-2am-et