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Polkadot-FrogUpDownDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 1PM ET
Resolved Up. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 25%
Total Value
$312.42
Combined PnL
-$281.86
Smart Money Signal
Up
1 of 5 top traders (20%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$312.42
Total Shares312
Combined PnL+$35.03
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,429
Combined PnL-$316.89
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 54.6¢ | $277.39 | $312.42 | +$35.03 | 53% 676-595 (1271) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 11¢ | $283.47 | — | -$283.47 | 53% 744-656 (1400) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 49.3¢ | $10.92 | — | -$10.92 | 53% 715-638 (1353) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $24 | — | -$24 | 46% 554-660 (1214) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Down | $8 | — | +$1.5 | 58% 1084-790 (1874) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$277.39
Value
$312.42
PnL
+$35.03
Record
53%
676-595 (1271)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTRInvested
$283.47
Value
—
PnL
-$283.47
Record
53%
744-656 (1400)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$10.92
Value
—
PnL
-$10.92
Record
53%
715-638 (1353)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$24
Value
—
PnL
-$24
Record
46%
554-660 (1214)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
+$1.5
Record
58%
1084-790 (1874)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3d54282d...e29fa3
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-november-10-2026-1pm-et