Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET
4 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Down (80%) · Down at 0.5¢ · $1K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
5
Down 80%
1 arb excluded
$1.5K
-$350.9
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 65.3¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$59.81 | 67% 99913-48291 (148204) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 44.7¢ | $66.03 | $108.1 | +$42.07 | 51% 8315-7849 (16164) |
AN Anon455CTR | Downavg 73¢ | $121.98 | $108 | -$13.98 | 55% 3005-2436 (5441) |
 Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $73.94 | $91.27 | +$17.34 | 64% 58857-33414 (92271) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49¢ | $44.09 | $57.15 | +$13.05 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 31.9¢ | $29.84 | $34.13 | +$4.29 | |
TM tmsd-testCTR | Downavg 80.2¢ | $401.23 | $81.92 | -$319.31 | 54% 14558-12412 (26970) |
SH Sharky6999<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $25.05 | $25.17 | +$0.13 | 98% 6906-167 (7073) |
Invested
$1,117.52
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$59.81
Record
67%
99913-48291 (148204)
Invested
$66.03
Value
$108.1
PnL
+$42.07
Record
51%
8315-7849 (16164)
Invested
$121.98
Value
$108
PnL
-$13.98
Record
55%
3005-2436 (5441)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$73.94
Value
$91.27
PnL
+$17.34
Record
64%
58857-33414 (92271)
Both legs:
Invested
$401.23
Value
$81.92
PnL
-$319.31
Record
54%
14558-12412 (26970)
Invested
$25.05
Value
$25.17
PnL
+$0.13
Record
98%
6906-167 (7073)
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