Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 47%
1 arb excluded
$2.4K
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 19 top traders (47%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 60% 652-437 (1089) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99¢ | $963.67 | $973.4 | +$9.73 | 54% 1670-1435 (3105) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $552.42 | $558 | +$5.58 | 98% 4700-98 (4798) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $504.8 | $490 | -$9.6 | 54% 4416-3739 (8155) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $254.8 | — | -$254.8 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $245 | $490 | +$245.2 | |
 wowitsamazing | Upavg 42.1¢ | $49.94 | $118.67 | +$68.73 | 49% 223-233 (456) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 49.6¢ | $64.12 | $129.4 | +$65.28 | 51% 2283-2160 (4443) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 55.4¢ | $39.2 | $40 | +$0.8 | 51% 2638-2500 (5138) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $32 | $50 | +$18 | 70% 1911-827 (2738) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 49.7¢ | $22.21 | $40 | +$17.79 | 50% 1016-1007 (2023) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 14.1¢ | $39.03 | — | -$39.03 | 49% 3753-3853 (7606) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $9.2 | — | -$9.2 | 48% 1554-1679 (3233) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $6.11 | — | -$6.11 | 54% 2814-2386 (5200) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $4.73 | $4.83 | +$0.1 | 43% 2221-2992 (5213) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $4.2 | $5.12 | +$0.92 | 62% 4812-2936 (7748) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 52% 4002-3711 (7713) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $1.41 | — | -$1.41 | 46% 1752-2030 (3782) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.31 | — | -$1.31 | 34% 1285-2527 (3812) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 25.8¢ | $142.4 | — | -$142.4 | 49% 2596-2668 (5264) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.31 | — | -$1.31 | 40% 1813-2746 (4559) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.6¢ | $1.42 | — | -$1.42 | 50% 4723-4777 (9500) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
60%
652-437 (1089)
Invested
$963.67
Value
$973.4
PnL
+$9.73
Record
54%
1670-1435 (3105)
Invested
$552.42
Value
$558
PnL
+$5.58
Record
98%
4700-98 (4798)
Invested
$504.8
Value
$490
PnL
-$9.6
Record
54%
4416-3739 (8155)
Both legs:
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.94
Value
$118.67
PnL
+$68.73
Record
49%
223-233 (456)
Invested
$64.12
Value
$129.4
PnL
+$65.28
Record
51%
2283-2160 (4443)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$39.2
Value
$40
PnL
+$0.8
Record
51%
2638-2500 (5138)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$32
Value
$50
PnL
+$18
Record
70%
1911-827 (2738)
Invested
$22.21
Value
$40
PnL
+$17.79
Record
50%
1016-1007 (2023)
Invested
$39.03
Value
—
PnL
-$39.03
Record
49%
3753-3853 (7606)
Invested
$9.2
Value
—
PnL
-$9.2
Record
48%
1554-1679 (3233)
Invested
$6.11
Value
—
PnL
-$6.11
Record
54%
2814-2386 (5200)
Invested
$4.73
Value
$4.83
PnL
+$0.1
Record
43%
2221-2992 (5213)
Invested
$4.2
Value
$5.12
PnL
+$0.92
Record
62%
4812-2936 (7748)
Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
52%
4002-3711 (7713)
Invested
$1.41
Value
—
PnL
-$1.41
Record
46%
1752-2030 (3782)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
—
PnL
-$1.31
Record
34%
1285-2527 (3812)
Invested
$142.4
Value
—
PnL
-$142.4
Record
49%
2596-2668 (5264)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
—
PnL
-$1.31
Record
40%
1813-2746 (4559)
Invested
$1.42
Value
—
PnL
-$1.42
Record
50%
4723-4777 (9500)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
0x50f7
Up — $973.4
hoodquant
Up — $558
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
wowitsamazing
Up — $118.67
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $129.4
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $40
BoneOhio
Up — $50
PBot-6
Up — $40
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0