Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 57%
1 arb excluded
$2.8K
-$166.49
Smart Money Signal
12 of 21 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$0.02 | 60% 652-437 (1089) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $524.4 | $530.66 | +$6.26 | 98% 4700-98 (4798) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$3.2 | 54% 4416-3739 (8155) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $245 | — | -$246.8 | |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $53.27 | — | -$53.27 | 46% 3434-3964 (7398) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $190.63 | $190 | -$0.63 | 54% 1670-1435 (3105) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 48.3¢ | $151.28 | — | -$123.27 | 52% 4002-3711 (7713) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $59.19 | $49 | +$4.66 | 40% 1813-2746 (4559) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 88.1¢ | $37.68 | $40 | +$2.32 | 44% 2501-3236 (5737) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 88.8¢ | $23.32 | $20 | -$3.32 | 50% 4723-4777 (9500) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $8.21 | $8.52 | +$0.31 | 48% 2616-2848 (5464) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 91.5¢ | $10.65 | $10.33 | -$0.32 | 66% 4119-2085 (6204) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $8.18 | $18.18 | +$10 | 51% 2283-2160 (4443) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 47% 2539-2808 (5347) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 54% 2814-2386 (5200) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $5.6 | $5.05 | +$0.55 | 62% 4812-2936 (7748) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $5.88 | $6.39 | +$0.51 | 65% 2926-1596 (4522) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $4.9 | $5.38 | +$0.48 | 50% 2955-2954 (5909) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 48% 1554-1679 (3233) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.3¢ | $1.48 | — | -$1.48 | 49% 3753-3853 (7606) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $0.62 | — | -$0.62 | 70% 1911-827 (2738) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.6¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 51% 2638-2500 (5138) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 48% 2635-2900 (5535) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$0.02
Record
60%
652-437 (1089)
Invested
$524.4
Value
$530.66
PnL
+$6.26
Record
98%
4700-98 (4798)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$3.2
Record
54%
4416-3739 (8155)
Both legs:
Invested
$53.27
Value
—
PnL
-$53.27
Record
46%
3434-3964 (7398)
Invested
$190.63
Value
$190
PnL
-$0.63
Record
54%
1670-1435 (3105)
Invested
$151.28
Value
—
PnL
-$123.27
Record
52%
4002-3711 (7713)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$59.19
Value
$49
PnL
+$4.66
Record
40%
1813-2746 (4559)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$37.68
Value
$40
PnL
+$2.32
Record
44%
2501-3236 (5737)
Invested
$23.32
Value
$20
PnL
-$3.32
Record
50%
4723-4777 (9500)
Invested
$8.21
Value
$8.52
PnL
+$0.31
Record
48%
2616-2848 (5464)
Invested
$10.65
Value
$10.33
PnL
-$0.32
Record
66%
4119-2085 (6204)
Invested
$8.18
Value
$18.18
PnL
+$10
Record
51%
2283-2160 (4443)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
47%
2539-2808 (5347)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
54%
2814-2386 (5200)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.55
Record
62%
4812-2936 (7748)
Invested
$5.88
Value
$6.39
PnL
+$0.51
Record
65%
2926-1596 (4522)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5.38
PnL
+$0.48
Record
50%
2955-2954 (5909)
Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
48%
1554-1679 (3233)
Invested
$1.48
Value
—
PnL
-$1.48
Record
49%
3753-3853 (7606)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$0.62
Value
—
PnL
-$0.62
Record
70%
1911-827 (2738)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
51%
2638-2500 (5138)
Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
48%
2635-2900 (5535)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
hoodquant
Up — $530.66
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
suntori
CTRDown — $0
0x50f7
Up — $190
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $49
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $40
asdcaxz
Up — $20
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $8.52