Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 65%
1 arb excluded
$2.3K
-$7.22
Smart Money Signal
12 of 18 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$0.06 | 60% 652-437 (1089) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $1.5K | +$750 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $749.91 | — | -$749.94 | |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 54% 4416-3739 (8155) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$0 | 52% 4002-3711 (7713) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 60.3¢ | $34.55 | $55 | +$20.45 | 50% 4723-4777 (9500) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Downavg 23.8¢ | $109.45 | — | -$23.01 | 51% 2638-2500 (5138) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 78.6¢ | $20.04 | $15.19 | -$4.85 | 54% 2814-2386 (5200) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $16.85 | $15.1 | -$1.75 | 66% 4119-2085 (6204) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $8.8 | $11 | +$2.2 | 48% 2616-2848 (5464) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $4.26 | $5.18 | +$0.92 | 40% 1813-2746 (4559) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 50% 2955-2954 (5909) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $9.1 | — | -$5.78 | 60% 4369-2959 (7328) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $3.3 | $5 | +$1.7 | 62% 4812-2936 (7748) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $2.37 | $3 | +$0.63 | 47% 2539-2808 (5347) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $2.22 | — | -$2.22 | 43% 2221-2992 (5213) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.45 | $4.8 | +$2.35 | 57% 5242-3886 (9128) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 53% 3147-2839 (5986) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.9¢ | $5.99 | — | -$5.99 | 48% 2635-2900 (5535) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 63.3¢ | $20.54 | $0.01 | +$11.24 | 46% 3434-3964 (7398) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 44% 2501-3236 (5737) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$0.06
Record
60%
652-437 (1089)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
4416-3739 (8155)
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4002-3711 (7713)
Invested
$34.55
Value
$55
PnL
+$20.45
Record
50%
4723-4777 (9500)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$109.45
Value
—
PnL
-$23.01
Record
51%
2638-2500 (5138)
Invested
$20.04
Value
$15.19
PnL
-$4.85
Record
54%
2814-2386 (5200)
Invested
$16.85
Value
$15.1
PnL
-$1.75
Record
66%
4119-2085 (6204)
Invested
$8.8
Value
$11
PnL
+$2.2
Record
48%
2616-2848 (5464)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.26
Value
$5.18
PnL
+$0.92
Record
40%
1813-2746 (4559)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
50%
2955-2954 (5909)
Invested
$9.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.78
Record
60%
4369-2959 (7328)
Invested
$3.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.7
Record
62%
4812-2936 (7748)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.37
Value
$3
PnL
+$0.63
Record
47%
2539-2808 (5347)
Invested
$2.22
Value
—
PnL
-$2.22
Record
43%
2221-2992 (5213)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$4.8
PnL
+$2.35
Record
57%
5242-3886 (9128)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
53%
3147-2839 (5986)
Invested
$5.99
Value
—
PnL
-$5.99
Record
48%
2635-2900 (5535)
Invested
$20.54
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$11.24
Record
46%
3434-3964 (7398)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
44%
2501-3236 (5737)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
soswald1
Up — $150
asdcaxz
Up — $55
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
Up — $15.19
asdaefef
Up — $15.1
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $11
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $5.18
dvasdkasodk
Up — $5