Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 68%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$718.52

Combined PnL

$-1.7K

Smart Money Signal

13 of 19 top traders (68%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up13 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,057

Combined PnL$-1.7K

Down6 traders

Total Value$217.45

Total Shares217

Combined PnL+$22.46

Up — 68%Down — 32%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.3K	60% 643-434 (1077)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$521.83	$501.07	+$5.88	54% 4385-3706 (8091)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$246.69	—	-$247.19
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250.69	$501.07	+$253.07
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 52¢	$179.14	—	-$179.14	49% 2590-2661 (5251)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 46.5¢	$73.07	$82.02	+$13.1	49% 3718-3826 (7544)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 55.3¢	$79.29	$76.48	+$5.38	51% 2628-2476 (5104)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 36.8¢	$59.18	—	-$55.76	50% 4700-4760 (9460)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 57.4¢	$87.33	—	-$45.65	54% 2796-2370 (5166)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 49.7¢	$47.07	—	-$47.07	52% 5242-4903 (10145)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$27.54	$27.82	+$0.28	98% 4661-98 (4759)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 55¢	$31.55	—	-$30.2	52% 3978-3687 (7665)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 82¢	$14.41	$13	-$1.41	66% 4097-2069 (6166)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 92¢	$11.16	$12.13	+$0.97	62% 4780-2916 (7696)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 42.3¢	$6.35	—	-$6.35	48% 2621-2880 (5501)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 65¢	$11.84	—	-$9.84	60% 4351-2951 (7302)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 31¢	$1.86	$6	+$4.14	43% 2210-2957 (5167)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 38.7¢	$25.26	—	-$15.67	46% 1747-2012 (3759)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 48¢	$2.5	—	-$2.5	65% 2910-1583 (4493)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$1.08	—	-$1.08	48% 2593-2832 (5425)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 47.5¢	$4.94	—	-$4.94	34% 1279-2509 (3788)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 2.7¢	$0.37	—	-$0.37	53% 3129-2827 (5956)