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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

18

Up 72%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.5K

Combined PnL

-$4.56

Smart Money Signal

Up

13 of 18 top traders (72%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up13 traders

Total Value$2.5K

Total Shares2,476

Combined PnL+$12.81

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares292

Combined PnL-$17.37

Up — 72%Down — 28%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$0.69	60% 643-434 (1077)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.4¢	$507	$508.52	+$5.99	54% 4385-3706 (8091)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.8¢	$285.77	$289.34	+$3.58	98% 4661-98 (4759)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 75.8¢	$76.76	$101.28	+$24.52	49% 2590-2661 (5251)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710ARB<$100	Upavg 98¢	$33.94	$26	-$7.94	43% 2210-2957 (5167)
└ Up leg	Upavg 98¢	$25.48	$26	+$0.52
└ Down leg	Downavg 3.2¢	$8.46	—	-$8.46
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 92.3¢	$189.91	$35	-$39.88	51% 2628-2476 (5104)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 66.5¢	$33.39	$30	-$3.39	49% 3718-3826 (7544)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 69.7¢	$31.35	$45	+$13.65	54% 2796-2370 (5166)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$14.98	$15	+$0.02	54% 1662-1428 (3090)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 51¢	$5.1	$10	+$4.9	44% 2484-3215 (5699)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 98¢	$5.88	$6	+$0.12	50% 2938-2929 (5867)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 99¢	$5.94	$6	+$0.06	65% 2910-1583 (4493)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 67¢	$4.02	$6	+$1.98	66% 4097-2069 (6166)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 78¢	$2.1	$2.69	+$0.59	62% 4780-2916 (7696)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$2.55	—	-$2.55	57% 5234-3877 (9111)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 7¢	$0.36	—	-$0.36	34% 1279-2509 (3788)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 9¢	$13.1	—	-$13.1	50% 4700-4760 (9460)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$1.31	—	-$1.31	40% 1799-2733 (4532)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1528-2731 (4259)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$0.69

Record

60%

643-434 (1077)

Invested

$507

Value

$508.52

PnL

+$5.99

Record

54%

4385-3706 (8091)

Invested

$285.77

Value

$289.34

PnL

+$3.58

Record

98%

4661-98 (4759)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$76.76

Value

$101.28

PnL

+$24.52

Record

49%

2590-2661 (5251)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710ARB<$100

Invested

$33.94

Value

$26

PnL

-$7.94

Record

43%

2210-2957 (5167)

Both legs:

Up$25.4898¢+$0.52

Down$8.463.2¢-$8.46

Invested

$189.91

Value

$35

PnL

-$39.88

Record

51%

2628-2476 (5104)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$33.39

Value

$30

PnL

-$3.39

Record

49%

3718-3826 (7544)

Invested

$31.35

Value

$45

PnL

+$13.65

Record

54%

2796-2370 (5166)

Invested

$14.98

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.02

Record

54%

1662-1428 (3090)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$5.1

Value

$10

PnL

+$4.9

Record

44%

2484-3215 (5699)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$5.88

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.12

Record

50%

2938-2929 (5867)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.06

Record

65%

2910-1583 (4493)

Invested

$4.02

Value

$6

PnL

+$1.98

Record

66%

4097-2069 (6166)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$2.1

Value

$2.69

PnL

+$0.59

Record

62%

4780-2916 (7696)

HcrystallashCTR<$100

Invested

$2.55

Value

—

PnL

-$2.55

Record

57%

5234-3877 (9111)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.36

Value

—

PnL

-$0.36

Record

34%

1279-2509 (3788)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$13.1

Value

—

PnL

-$13.1

Record

50%

4700-4760 (9460)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.31

Value

—

PnL

-$1.31

Record

40%

1799-2733 (4532)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

36%

1528-2731 (4259)

Smart Money Signal

Up

13 of 18 top traders (72%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x1ab1900a...522102

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794780900

Traders in this Market

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Up — $1.4K

ByteBadger92

Up — $508.52

hoodquant

Up — $289.34

uninformedfloww

Up — $101.28

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Arbitrage — excluded

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $35

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $30

ply-pm2

Up — $45

0x50f7

Up — $15

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $10

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