Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 57%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$871.05

Combined PnL

$-1.6K

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 21 top traders (57%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,015

Combined PnL$-1.6K

Up9 traders

Total Value$690.94

Total Shares691

Combined PnL+$15.78

Down — 57%Up — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.4K	60% 643-434 (1077)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 51.2¢	$516.37	$508.46	+$2.08	54% 4385-3706 (8091)
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Upavg 74.5¢	$154.46	$139	-$15.46	50% 4700-4760 (9460)
└ Up leg	Upavg 74.5¢	$103.59	$139	+$35.41
└ Down leg	Downavg 29¢	$50.87	—	-$50.87
SO soswald1CTR	Downavg 49.9¢	$150.12	—	-$125.62	52% 3978-3687 (7665)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 81.5¢	$71.08	$65	-$6.08	54% 2796-2370 (5166)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Downavg 42¢	$97.89	$41.11	-$20.65	51% 2628-2476 (5104)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.8¢	$20.89	$41.11	+$29.45
└ Down leg	Downavg 42¢	$50.37	—	-$50.1
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 53.7¢	$37.1	$42.89	+$7.2	48% 2593-2832 (5425)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 54.5¢	$17.43	$31.99	+$14.56	51% 2264-2146 (4410)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$14.91	$15.06	+$0.15	98% 4661-98 (4759)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Downavg 32¢	$18.5	—	-$18.5	46% 1747-2012 (3759)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 99¢	$12.03	$11	-$1.03	66% 4097-2069 (6166)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 88¢	$6.64	$7.54	+$0.9	60% 4351-2951 (7302)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 99¢	$5.94	$6	+$0.06	65% 2910-1583 (4493)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 86¢	$6.5	$3	-$2.06	62% 4780-2916 (7696)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 31¢	$9.58	—	-$5.26	48% 2621-2880 (5501)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 16.1¢	$0.97	—	-$0.97	53% 3129-2827 (5956)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Downavg 13.5¢	$2.96	—	-$2.96	39% 821-1310 (2131)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 18.6¢	$49.49	—	-$49.49	49% 2590-2661 (5251)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1528-2731 (4259)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 29.1¢	$19.48	—	-$19.48	47% 2520-2793 (5313)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 18.1¢	$2.11	—	-$2.11	43% 2210-2957 (5167)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$3.76	—	-$3.76	44% 2484-3215 (5699)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 17¢	$1.25	—	-$1.25	50% 2938-2929 (5867)