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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

17

Up 71%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.1K

Combined PnL

-$82.42

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 17 top traders (71%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up12 traders
Total Value$212.85
Total Shares213
Combined PnL+$44.96
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares389
Combined PnL-$127.37
Up β€” 71%Down β€” 29%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100
Down

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.4K

PnL

-$6.49

Record

60%

643-434 (1077)

Both legs:

Up$695.5150Β’+$677.96
Down$697.2150Β’-$684.46
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$513.03

Value

$491.72

PnL

-$2.9

Record

54%

4385-3706 (8091)

Both legs:

Up$245.3549.9Β’+$248.58
Down$249.7150.5Β’-$251.48
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100
Down

Invested

$113.89

Value

$30

PnL

+$10.33

Record

51%

2628-2476 (5104)

Both legs:

Down$37.9433.3Β’-$26.97
Up$9.8532.8Β’+$37.3
HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$39.55

Value

$40

PnL

+$0.45

Record

98%

4661-98 (4759)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$46.3

Value

β€”

PnL

-$46.3

Record

51%

2264-2146 (4410)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$31.6

Value

$34.65

PnL

+$3.05

Record

54%

2796-2370 (5166)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$57.89

Value

β€”

PnL

-$57.89

Record

50%

4700-4760 (9460)

RA
rabadabadoo<$100
Up

Invested

$17.9

Value

$18.89

PnL

+$2.84

Record

46%

1747-2012 (3759)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.6

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.6

Record

54%

1662-1428 (3090)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$13.71

Value

$18

PnL

+$4.29

Record

53%

3129-2827 (5956)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$18.29

Value

$17

PnL

-$1.29

Record

62%

4780-2916 (7696)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$17.22

Value

$17

PnL

-$0.22

Record

66%

4097-2069 (6166)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$13.73

Value

$23

PnL

+$9.27

Record

48%

2621-2880 (5501)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$9

Value

$23

PnL

+$14

Record

48%

2593-2832 (5425)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$17.65

Value

β€”

PnL

-$17.65

Record

49%

2590-2661 (5251)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$3.6

Value

$7.67

PnL

+$4.07

Record

52%

3978-3687 (7665)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.93

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.93

Record

44%

2484-3215 (5699)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$2.35

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.65

Record

47%

2520-2793 (5313)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$1.15

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.85

Record

40%

1799-2733 (4532)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$1.64

Value

$3.64

PnL

+$2

Record

60%

4351-2951 (7302)