Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 63%
3 arb excluded
$2.6K
-$92.1
Smart Money Signal
12 of 19 top traders (63%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$9.59 | 60% 643-434 (1077) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $665.71 | — | -$687.99 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $675.33 | $1.4K | +$697.58 | |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.4¢ | $522.46 | $507.84 | +$13.19 | 54% 4385-3706 (8091) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 48.2¢ | $242.48 | — | -$246.05 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.4¢ | $255.82 | $507.84 | +$259.24 | |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 74.4¢ | $229.96 | $230.69 | +$0.73 | 50% 4700-4760 (9460) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 91.3¢ | $182.54 | $200.03 | +$17.49 | 43% 2210-2957 (5167) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.7¢ | $46.15 | $61.95 | +$15.8 | 54% 2796-2370 (5166) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 12.4¢ | $15.37 | — | -$15.37 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.7¢ | $30.78 | $61.95 | +$31.17 | |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 80.8¢ | $105.38 | $87.62 | -$16.98 | 52% 3978-3687 (7665) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.2¢ | $42.18 | $32.57 | -$9.61 | 66% 4097-2069 (6166) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $34.71 | $46 | +$11.29 | 51% 2264-2146 (4410) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $29.35 | — | -$19.45 | 51% 2628-2476 (5104) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 44.1¢ | $24.15 | $50 | +$25.85 | 44% 2484-3215 (5699) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 12.1¢ | $4.25 | — | -$4.25 | 48% 2621-2880 (5501) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.2¢ | $24 | — | -$21.83 | 46% 1747-2012 (3759) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $23.52 | $23.25 | -$0.27 | 40% 1799-2733 (4532) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.3¢ | $7.05 | — | -$7.05 | 47% 2520-2793 (5313) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $5.95 | $5 | -$0.95 | 65% 2910-1583 (4493) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $6.6 | $10 | +$3.4 | 48% 2593-2832 (5425) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 50% 2938-2929 (5867) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 50% 1799-1825 (3624) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 98% 4661-98 (4759) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 23.7¢ | $2.61 | — | -$2.61 | 62% 4780-2916 (7696) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.55 | $5 | +$2.45 | 51% 1171-1112 (2283) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.2¢ | $69.11 | — | -$69.11 | 49% 2590-2661 (5251) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$9.59
Record
60%
643-434 (1077)
Both legs:
Invested
$522.46
Value
$507.84
PnL
+$13.19
Record
54%
4385-3706 (8091)
Both legs:
Invested
$229.96
Value
$230.69
PnL
+$0.73
Record
50%
4700-4760 (9460)
Invested
$182.54
Value
$200.03
PnL
+$17.49
Record
43%
2210-2957 (5167)
Invested
$46.15
Value
$61.95
PnL
+$15.8
Record
54%
2796-2370 (5166)
Both legs:
Invested
$105.38
Value
$87.62
PnL
-$16.98
Record
52%
3978-3687 (7665)
Invested
$42.18
Value
$32.57
PnL
-$9.61
Record
66%
4097-2069 (6166)
Invested
$34.71
Value
$46
PnL
+$11.29
Record
51%
2264-2146 (4410)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$29.35
Value
—
PnL
-$19.45
Record
51%
2628-2476 (5104)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$24.15
Value
$50
PnL
+$25.85
Record
44%
2484-3215 (5699)
Invested
$4.25
Value
—
PnL
-$4.25
Record
48%
2621-2880 (5501)
Invested
$24
Value
—
PnL
-$21.83
Record
46%
1747-2012 (3759)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$23.52
Value
$23.25
PnL
-$0.27
Record
40%
1799-2733 (4532)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$7.05
Value
—
PnL
-$7.05
Record
47%
2520-2793 (5313)
Invested
$5.95
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.95
Record
65%
2910-1583 (4493)
Invested
$6.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.4
Record
48%
2593-2832 (5425)
Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
50%
2938-2929 (5867)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
50%
1799-1825 (3624)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
4661-98 (4759)
Invested
$2.61
Value
—
PnL
-$2.61
Record
62%
4780-2916 (7696)
Invested
$2.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.45
Record
51%
1171-1112 (2283)
Invested
$69.11
Value
—
PnL
-$69.11
Record
49%
2590-2661 (5251)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
Up — $230.69
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $200.03
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Up — $87.62
asdaefef
Up — $32.57
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $46
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $50