Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 41%
$2.0K
-$257.2
Smart Money Signal
9 of 22 top traders (41%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$5.07 | 60% 643-434 (1077) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 49.9¢ | $504.6 | $495 | -$2.8 | 54% 4385-3706 (8091) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | — | -$135.7 | 52% 3978-3687 (7665) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.8¢ | $42.07 | — | -$37.37 | 51% 2628-2476 (5104) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 29.6¢ | $55.8 | — | -$50.04 | 50% 4700-4760 (9460) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 52.7¢ | $20.93 | $25.2 | +$9.73 | 46% 1747-2012 (3759) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 79.2¢ | $19.13 | $23.14 | +$4.01 | 62% 4780-2916 (7696) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $5.03 | $9.87 | +$4.84 | 48% 1548-1672 (3220) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 21.9¢ | $30.22 | — | -$19.12 | 54% 2796-2370 (5166) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $7.28 | $8 | +$0.72 | 53% 3129-2827 (5956) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $5.03 | $7.99 | +$2.96 | 44% 2484-3215 (5699) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $3.6 | $5 | +$1.4 | 48% 2593-2832 (5425) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.8¢ | $9.34 | — | -$3.88 | 46% 3415-3955 (7370) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $0.97 | $1.63 | +$0.65 | 47% 2520-2793 (5313) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $20.82 | — | -$20.82 | 51% 2264-2146 (4410) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $3.58 | — | -$3.58 | 39% 821-1310 (2131) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.3¢ | $1.04 | — | -$1.04 | 65% 2910-1583 (4493) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 66% 4097-2069 (6166) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 36% 1528-2731 (4259) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 50% 2938-2929 (5867) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 70% 1893-822 (2715) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $11.14 | — | -$9.58 | 60% 4351-2951 (7302) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$5.07
Record
60%
643-434 (1077)
Invested
$504.6
Value
$495
PnL
-$2.8
Record
54%
4385-3706 (8091)
Invested
$150
Value
—
PnL
-$135.7
Record
52%
3978-3687 (7665)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$42.07
Value
—
PnL
-$37.37
Record
51%
2628-2476 (5104)
Invested
$55.8
Value
—
PnL
-$50.04
Record
50%
4700-4760 (9460)
Invested
$20.93
Value
$25.2
PnL
+$9.73
Record
46%
1747-2012 (3759)
Invested
$19.13
Value
$23.14
PnL
+$4.01
Record
62%
4780-2916 (7696)
Invested
$5.03
Value
$9.87
PnL
+$4.84
Record
48%
1548-1672 (3220)
Invested
$30.22
Value
—
PnL
-$19.12
Record
54%
2796-2370 (5166)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.28
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.72
Record
53%
3129-2827 (5956)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$5.03
Value
$7.99
PnL
+$2.96
Record
44%
2484-3215 (5699)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.4
Record
48%
2593-2832 (5425)
Invested
$9.34
Value
—
PnL
-$3.88
Record
46%
3415-3955 (7370)
ohioism<$100Invested
$0.97
Value
$1.63
PnL
+$0.65
Record
47%
2520-2793 (5313)
Invested
$20.82
Value
—
PnL
-$20.82
Record
51%
2264-2146 (4410)
Invested
$3.58
Value
—
PnL
-$3.58
Record
39%
821-1310 (2131)
Invested
$1.04
Value
—
PnL
-$1.04
Record
65%
2910-1583 (4493)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
66%
4097-2069 (6166)
Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
36%
1528-2731 (4259)
Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
50%
2938-2929 (5867)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
70%
1893-822 (2715)
Invested
$11.14
Value
—
PnL
-$9.58
Record
60%
4351-2951 (7302)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
Up — $495
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
asdcaxz
CTRDown — $0
rabadabadoo
Up — $25.2
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $23.14
PBot-5
Up — $9.87
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
Up — $8