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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 55%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$15.83

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$1.6K
Total Shares1,628
Combined PnL+$9.39
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares176
Combined PnL-$25.22
Up — 58%Down — 42%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$6.75

Record

60%

638-427 (1065)

BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$502.35

Value

$490

PnL

-$7.05

Record

54%

4350-3681 (8031)

Both legs:

Down$252.3550¢-$252.35
Up$24550¢+$245.3
SO
soswald1ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$5.65

Record

52%

3952-3665 (7617)

Both legs:

Up$7550¢+$75
Down$67.550¢-$69.35
HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$88.48

Value

$89.42

PnL

+$0.94

Record

98%

4630-97 (4727)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$64.93

Value

$66

PnL

+$1.07

Record

40%

1785-2715 (4500)

HC
HcrystallashCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.45

Value

—

PnL

-$10.45

Record

57%

5226-3866 (9092)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$9.24

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.76

Record

54%

2777-2356 (5133)

RA
rabadabadoo<$100
Up

Invested

$8.45

Value

$6.78

PnL

-$1.67

Record

46%

1737-1999 (3736)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$12.43

Value

—

PnL

-$7.93

Record

51%

2609-2462 (5071)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.05

Value

—

PnL

-$5.05

Record

50%

4682-4738 (9420)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$2.56

Value

$4

PnL

+$1.44

Record

48%

2582-2816 (5398)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

43%

2188-2930 (5118)

FL
flippingsharksCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.39

Value

—

PnL

-$0.39

Record

38%

813-1304 (2117)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$4.75

Value

$0.05

PnL

+$0.1

Record

62%

4748-2897 (7645)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xdc63dfbc...4ebe6d
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794777900

Traders in this Market

0X

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Up — $1.5K

+$6.75
BY

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$7.05
SO

soswald1

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$5.65
HO

hoodquant

Up — $89.42

+$0.94

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $66

+$1.07
HC

Hcrystallash

CTR

Down — $0

-$10.45
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $10

+$0.76
RA

rabadabadoo

Up — $6.78

-$1.67

Polkadot-Frog

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.93
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.05
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