Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 64%

Total Value

$2.6K

Combined PnL

-$52.81

Smart Money Signal

Down

14 of 22 top traders (64%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down14 traders

Total Value$2.6K

Total Shares2,631

Combined PnL-$8.64

Up8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares178

Combined PnL-$44.16

Down — 64%Up — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.3K	+$6.96	60% 638-427 (1065)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50¢	$500.88	$500	+$4.69	54% 4350-3681 (8031)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 84.2¢	$415.72	$326	-$89.72	49% 2572-2644 (5216)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.8¢	$195.95	$198.24	+$2.29	98% 4630-97 (4727)
ohioism	Downavg 48.8¢	$70.94	$112	+$41.06	47% 2506-2778 (5284)
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 71.5¢	$99.4	$100	+$0.6	50% 4682-4738 (9420)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 54.7¢	$31.69	$42.47	+$11.78	49% 3684-3801 (7485)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 83.8¢	$35.58	$40.96	+$5.38	66% 4070-2058 (6128)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 49¢	$8.25	$11.22	+$2.97	54% 2777-2356 (5133)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 98¢	$17.33	$10.49	-$6.84	40% 1785-2715 (4500)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 95.4¢	$14.06	$8.11	+$1.04	62% 4748-2897 (7645)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 53.5¢	$15.13	—	-$12.75	46% 1737-1999 (3736)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	$8.76	—	-$8.76	48% 2606-2865 (5471)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 58.5¢	$4.38	$7.49	+$3.11	50% 2915-2911 (5826)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Downavg 45¢	$4.95	$11	+$6.05	57% 5226-3866 (9092)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 69¢	$4.44	$6.43	+$1.99	65% 2887-1573 (4460)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 50.5¢	$58.49	—	-$11.09	51% 2609-2462 (5071)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 5.8¢	$3.35	—	-$3.35	34% 1270-2495 (3765)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	48% 2582-2816 (5398)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Upavg 2¢	$0.04	—	-$0.04	38% 813-1304 (2117)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 12.9¢	$4.63	—	-$4.63	52% 3952-3665 (7617)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 39¢	$2.34	—	-$2.34	43% 2188-2930 (5118)