Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 70%
$2.4K
-$43.85
Smart Money Signal
14 of 20 top traders (70%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$1.84 | 60% 638-427 (1065) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $510.71 | $508.05 | +$2.31 | 54% 4350-3681 (8031) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$5.7 | 52% 3952-3665 (7617) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 68.8¢ | $60.18 | $65.64 | +$5.46 | 50% 4682-4738 (9420) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $50.49 | $51 | +$0.51 | 98% 4630-97 (4727) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $48.07 | — | -$48.07 | 51% 2246-2136 (4382) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.3¢ | $42.2 | — | -$33.3 | 51% 2609-2462 (5071) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $24.19 | $25 | +$0.81 | 57% 5226-3866 (9092) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 55.5¢ | $14.94 | $20 | +$5.06 | 49% 3684-3801 (7485) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 56.3¢ | $20.09 | $19.95 | -$0.14 | 46% 1737-1999 (3736) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 38.9¢ | $7.53 | $17.92 | +$10.39 | 47% 2506-2778 (5284) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 60.6¢ | $10.4 | $11.28 | +$0.88 | 66% 4070-2058 (6128) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 46.4¢ | $8.61 | $10.15 | +$1.54 | 54% 2777-2356 (5133) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 38.6¢ | $3.86 | $10 | +$6.14 | 48% 2582-2816 (5398) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $11.2 | $20 | +$8.8 | 51% 1162-1108 (2270) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.3¢ | $3.52 | — | -$3.52 | 40% 1785-2715 (4500) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $3.6 | $5 | +$1.4 | 70% 1877-817 (2694) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.9¢ | $1.51 | — | -$1.51 | 34% 1270-2495 (3765) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 62% 4748-2897 (7645) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $1.62 | — | -$1.62 | 43% 2188-2930 (5118) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$1.84
Record
60%
638-427 (1065)
Invested
$510.71
Value
$508.05
PnL
+$2.31
Record
54%
4350-3681 (8031)
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$5.7
Record
52%
3952-3665 (7617)
Invested
$60.18
Value
$65.64
PnL
+$5.46
Record
50%
4682-4738 (9420)
Invested
$50.49
Value
$51
PnL
+$0.51
Record
98%
4630-97 (4727)
Invested
$48.07
Value
—
PnL
-$48.07
Record
51%
2246-2136 (4382)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$42.2
Value
—
PnL
-$33.3
Record
51%
2609-2462 (5071)
Invested
$24.19
Value
$25
PnL
+$0.81
Record
57%
5226-3866 (9092)
Invested
$14.94
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.06
Record
49%
3684-3801 (7485)
Invested
$20.09
Value
$19.95
PnL
-$0.14
Record
46%
1737-1999 (3736)
ohioism<$100Invested
$7.53
Value
$17.92
PnL
+$10.39
Record
47%
2506-2778 (5284)
Invested
$10.4
Value
$11.28
PnL
+$0.88
Record
66%
4070-2058 (6128)
Invested
$8.61
Value
$10.15
PnL
+$1.54
Record
54%
2777-2356 (5133)
Invested
$3.86
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.14
Record
48%
2582-2816 (5398)
Invested
$11.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.8
Record
51%
1162-1108 (2270)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.52
Value
—
PnL
-$3.52
Record
40%
1785-2715 (4500)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.4
Record
70%
1877-817 (2694)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.51
Value
—
PnL
-$1.51
Record
34%
1270-2495 (3765)
Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
62%
4748-2897 (7645)
Invested
$1.62
Value
—
PnL
-$1.62
Record
43%
2188-2930 (5118)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
Down — $508.05
soswald1
Down — $150
asdcaxz
Down — $65.64
hoodquant
Down — $51
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
Hcrystallash
Down — $25
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $20
rabadabadoo
Down — $19.95