Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 78%
1 arb excluded
$2.5K
$29.35
Smart Money Signal
15 of 19 top traders (79%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$4.51 | 60% 638-427 (1065) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $507.43 | $499.97 | -$4.27 | 54% 4350-3681 (8031) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.6¢ | $248.19 | $499.97 | +$247.99 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.3¢ | $251.61 | — | -$252.26 | |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 36.1¢ | $81.52 | $113.93 | +$32.41 | 50% 4682-4738 (9420) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $89.1 | $90 | +$0.9 | 98% 4630-97 (4727) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $52.46 | $79.37 | +$26.92 | 49% 3684-3801 (7485) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 76.5¢ | $77.95 | $65 | -$12.95 | 48% 2606-2865 (5471) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.7¢ | $38.72 | — | -$20.18 | 51% 2609-2462 (5071) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $41.37 | $34.08 | -$2.31 | 52% 3952-3665 (7617) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 64.5¢ | $24.98 | $23.63 | -$1.35 | 54% 2777-2356 (5133) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 74.2¢ | $22.15 | $17.83 | -$4.32 | 46% 1737-1999 (3736) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $15.9 | $30 | +$14.1 | 48% 2582-2816 (5398) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 67.1¢ | $8.14 | $11.17 | +$3.03 | 66% 4070-2058 (6128) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 66.7¢ | $9.04 | $13.08 | +$4.05 | 62% 4748-2897 (7645) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $10.6 | $10 | -$0.6 | 47% 2506-2778 (5284) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $6.93 | $7 | +$0.07 | 65% 2887-1573 (4460) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $5.6 | $6.59 | +$0.99 | 46% 3397-3944 (7341) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 55.2¢ | $14.57 | — | -$14.57 | 51% 2246-2136 (4382) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.51 | — | -$1.51 | 34% 1270-2495 (3765) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $0.48 | $0.95 | +$0.47 | 44% 2472-3195 (5667) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 50% 2915-2911 (5826) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$4.51
Record
60%
638-427 (1065)
Invested
$507.43
Value
$499.97
PnL
-$4.27
Record
54%
4350-3681 (8031)
Both legs:
Invested
$81.52
Value
$113.93
PnL
+$32.41
Record
50%
4682-4738 (9420)
Invested
$89.1
Value
$90
PnL
+$0.9
Record
98%
4630-97 (4727)
Invested
$52.46
Value
$79.37
PnL
+$26.92
Record
49%
3684-3801 (7485)
Invested
$77.95
Value
$65
PnL
-$12.95
Record
48%
2606-2865 (5471)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$38.72
Value
—
PnL
-$20.18
Record
51%
2609-2462 (5071)
Invested
$41.37
Value
$34.08
PnL
-$2.31
Record
52%
3952-3665 (7617)
Invested
$24.98
Value
$23.63
PnL
-$1.35
Record
54%
2777-2356 (5133)
Invested
$22.15
Value
$17.83
PnL
-$4.32
Record
46%
1737-1999 (3736)
Invested
$15.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$14.1
Record
48%
2582-2816 (5398)
Invested
$8.14
Value
$11.17
PnL
+$3.03
Record
66%
4070-2058 (6128)
Invested
$9.04
Value
$13.08
PnL
+$4.05
Record
62%
4748-2897 (7645)
ohioism<$100Invested
$10.6
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.6
Record
47%
2506-2778 (5284)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.07
Record
65%
2887-1573 (4460)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$6.59
PnL
+$0.99
Record
46%
3397-3944 (7341)
Invested
$14.57
Value
—
PnL
-$14.57
Record
51%
2246-2136 (4382)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.51
Value
—
PnL
-$1.51
Record
34%
1270-2495 (3765)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$0.48
Value
$0.95
PnL
+$0.47
Record
44%
2472-3195 (5667)
Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
50%
2915-2911 (5826)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.5K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
Up — $113.93
hoodquant
Up — $90
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $79.37
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $65
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $34.08
ply-pm2
Up — $23.63
rabadabadoo
Up — $17.83