Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 74%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.5K

Combined PnL

$170.75

Smart Money Signal

20 of 27 top traders (74%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up20 traders

Total Value$2.9K

Total Shares2,914

Combined PnL+$259.8

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares233

Combined PnL-$89.05

Up — 74%Down — 26%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.3K	+$10.4	60% 625-416 (1041)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 85.1¢	$584.3	$686.68	+$102.39	49% 2537-2616 (5153)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.1¢	$522.85	$495.01	+$12.48	54% 4282-3627 (7909)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.1¢	$248.2	$495.01	+$256.7
└ Down leg	Downavg 48.5¢	$244.01	—	-$244.22
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 90.9¢	$199.26	$219.12	+$19.86	42% 2132-2886 (5018)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 75.8¢	$102.8	$111.02	+$8.23	49% 3651-3756 (7407)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 73.1¢	$100.64	$105.75	+$7.39	50% 4644-4696 (9340)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.6¢	$101.57	$103	+$1.43	98% 4560-95 (4655)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Upavg 68.1¢	$72.58	$92.31	+$19.73	51% 2574-2433 (5007)
└ Up leg	Upavg 68.1¢	$62.83	$92.31	+$29.48
└ Down leg	Downavg 15¢	$9.75	—	-$9.75
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 64.4¢	$43.34	$64	+$20.66	43% 2435-3165 (5600)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 60.5¢	$41.12	$55	+$14.53	52% 3909-3625 (7534)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 52.3¢	$36.46	$54.51	+$18.05	54% 2739-2328 (5067)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 70.3¢	$35.65	$50.71	+$15.06	48% 1516-1642 (3158)
SU suntori<$100	Upavg 45.7¢	$20.56	$45.02	+$24.46	46% 3336-3878 (7214)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 96.3¢	$37.21	$32.13	-$5.08	62% 4692-2855 (7547)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 88.5¢	$22.12	$25	+$2.88	40% 1760-2679 (4439)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 52¢	$23.92	—	-$23.92	51% 2213-2109 (4322)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 83.7¢	$21.56	$22.71	+$1.15	50% 2877-2870 (5747)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 69.5¢	$11.82	$17	+$5.18	48% 2576-2827 (5403)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 72¢	$14.4	$20	+$5.6	60% 4284-2912 (7196)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 71¢	$14.97	$18.45	+$3.48	47% 2471-2739 (5210)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Upavg 76¢	$11.2	$14.74	+$3.54	38% 794-1290 (2084)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 17.5¢	$8.76	—	-$8.76	48% 2553-2774 (5327)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Downavg 50.2¢	$8.04	—	-$8.04	58% 5209-3849 (9058)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 90¢	$5.9	$5.22	-$0.68	65% 2855-1552 (4407)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 70¢	$3.73	$5	+$1.27	52% 3078-2785 (5863)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$10.4

Record

60%

625-416 (1041)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$584.3

Value

$686.68

PnL

+$102.39

Record

49%

2537-2616 (5153)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$522.85

Value

$495.01

PnL

+$12.48

Record

54%

4282-3627 (7909)

Both legs:

Up$248.250.1¢+$256.7

Down$244.0148.5¢-$244.22

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$199.26

Value

$219.12

PnL

+$19.86

Record

42%

2132-2886 (5018)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$102.8

Value

$111.02

PnL

+$8.23

Record

49%

3651-3756 (7407)

asdcaxz

Invested

$100.64

Value

$105.75

PnL

+$7.39

Record

50%

4644-4696 (9340)

hoodquant

Invested

$101.57

Value

$103

PnL

+$1.43

Record

98%

4560-95 (4655)

Polkadot-FrogARB<$100

Invested

$72.58

Value

$92.31

PnL

+$19.73

Record

51%

2574-2433 (5007)

Both legs:

Up$62.8368.1¢+$29.48

Down$9.7515¢-$9.75

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$43.34

Value

$64

PnL

+$20.66

Record

43%

2435-3165 (5600)

soswald1<$100

Invested

$41.12

Value

$55

PnL

+$14.53

Record

52%

3909-3625 (7534)

ply-pm2<$100

Invested

$36.46

Value

$54.51

PnL

+$18.05

Record

54%

2739-2328 (5067)

PBot-5<$100

Invested

$35.65

Value

$50.71

PnL

+$15.06

Record

48%

1516-1642 (3158)

suntori<$100

Invested

$20.56

Value

$45.02

PnL

+$24.46

Record

46%

3336-3878 (7214)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$37.21

Value

$32.13

PnL

-$5.08

Record

62%

4692-2855 (7547)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$22.12

Value

$25

PnL

+$2.88

Record

40%

1760-2679 (4439)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$23.92

Value

—

PnL

-$23.92

Record

51%

2213-2109 (4322)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$21.56

Value

$22.71

PnL

+$1.15

Record

50%

2877-2870 (5747)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$11.82

Value

$17

PnL

+$5.18

Record

48%

2576-2827 (5403)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$14.4

Value

$20

PnL

+$5.6

Record

60%

4284-2912 (7196)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$14.97

Value

$18.45

PnL

+$3.48

Record

47%

2471-2739 (5210)

flippingsharks<$100

Invested

$11.2

Value

$14.74

PnL

+$3.54

Record

38%

794-1290 (2084)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$8.76

Value

—

PnL

-$8.76

Record

48%

2553-2774 (5327)

HcrystallashCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$8.04

Value

—

PnL

-$8.04

Record

58%

5209-3849 (9058)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$5.9

Value

$5.22

PnL

-$0.68

Record

65%

2855-1552 (4407)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$3.73

Value

PnL

+$1.27

Record

52%

3078-2785 (5863)

Smart Money Signal

20 of 27 top traders (74%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x8fe0f3a2...138a42

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794769800

Traders in this Market

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Up — $1.3K

+$10.4

uninformedfloww

Up — $686.68

+$102.39

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$12.48

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $219.12

+$19.86

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $111.02

+$8.23

asdcaxz

Up — $105.75

+$7.39

hoodquant

Up — $103

+$1.43

Polkadot-Frog

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$19.73

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $64

+$20.66

soswald1

Up — $55

+$14.53

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