Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
21
Up 57%
$736.96
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
12 of 21 top traders (57%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 60% 625-416 (1041) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $503.6 | $501.13 | +$2.34 | 54% 4282-3627 (7909) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 81.7¢ | $82.33 | $78.87 | -$2.98 | 50% 4644-4696 (9340) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $49.75 | $50.25 | +$0.5 | 98% 4560-95 (4655) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 81.9¢ | $31.5 | $36.11 | +$4.61 | 54% 2739-2328 (5067) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $26.21 | $38 | +$11.79 | 51% 2213-2109 (4322) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $18.6 | — | -$18.6 | 51% 2574-2433 (5007) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 93.4¢ | $11.45 | $11 | +$0.46 | 62% 4692-2855 (7547) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $11.55 | $10 | -$1.55 | 66% 4016-2029 (6045) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 68.2¢ | $8.23 | $6.59 | -$1.64 | 46% 1715-1974 (3689) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $3 | $5 | +$2 | 43% 2435-3165 (5600) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $3.33 | — | -$3.33 | 48% 2576-2827 (5403) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.6¢ | $1.95 | — | -$1.95 | 52% 3078-2785 (5863) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 58% 5209-3849 (9058) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 11.6¢ | $4.23 | — | -$4.23 | 52% 3909-3625 (7534) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 40% 1760-2679 (4439) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.4¢ | $0.76 | — | -$0.76 | 38% 794-1290 (2084) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 42% 2132-2886 (5018) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.3¢ | $17.75 | — | -$17.75 | 49% 2537-2616 (5153) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 36% 1504-2673 (4177) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 50% 2877-2870 (5747) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
60%
625-416 (1041)
Invested
$503.6
Value
$501.13
PnL
+$2.34
Record
54%
4282-3627 (7909)
Invested
$82.33
Value
$78.87
PnL
-$2.98
Record
50%
4644-4696 (9340)
Invested
$49.75
Value
$50.25
PnL
+$0.5
Record
98%
4560-95 (4655)
Invested
$31.5
Value
$36.11
PnL
+$4.61
Record
54%
2739-2328 (5067)
Invested
$26.21
Value
$38
PnL
+$11.79
Record
51%
2213-2109 (4322)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$18.6
Value
—
PnL
-$18.6
Record
51%
2574-2433 (5007)
Invested
$11.45
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.46
Record
62%
4692-2855 (7547)
Invested
$11.55
Value
$10
PnL
-$1.55
Record
66%
4016-2029 (6045)
Invested
$8.23
Value
$6.59
PnL
-$1.64
Record
46%
1715-1974 (3689)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2
Record
43%
2435-3165 (5600)
Invested
$3.33
Value
—
PnL
-$3.33
Record
48%
2576-2827 (5403)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
52%
3078-2785 (5863)
Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
58%
5209-3849 (9058)
Invested
$4.23
Value
—
PnL
-$4.23
Record
52%
3909-3625 (7534)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
40%
1760-2679 (4439)
Invested
$0.76
Value
—
PnL
-$0.76
Record
38%
794-1290 (2084)
Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
42%
2132-2886 (5018)
Invested
$17.75
Value
—
PnL
-$17.75
Record
49%
2537-2616 (5153)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
36%
1504-2673 (4177)
Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
50%
2877-2870 (5747)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $501.13
asdcaxz
Down — $78.87
hoodquant
Down — $50.25
ply-pm2
Down — $36.11
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $38
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $11
asdaefef
Down — $10
rabadabadoo
Down — $6.59