Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 40%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

-$47.37

Smart Money Signal

8 of 20 top traders (40%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$297.42

Total Shares297

Combined PnL+$13.83

Down12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares181

Combined PnL-$61.19

Up — 40%Down — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	-$5.15	60% 615-414 (1029)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$703.4	$1.4K	+$709.56
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$705.02	—	-$714.71
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.5¢	$507.14	$490	-$5	54% 4250-3596 (7846)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$247.8
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.5¢	$252.2	—	-$252.8
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$121.77	$123	+$1.23	98% 4530-94 (4624)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 65.5¢	$88.05	$88.88	+$1.73	50% 4615-4686 (9301)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 27.4¢	$74.71	—	+$1.87	51% 2557-2416 (4973)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 61.9¢	$15.9	$25.68	+$9.79	52% 3882-3606 (7488)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 42.2¢	$24.16	—	-$24.16	48% 2538-2754 (5292)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 66.3¢	$22.53	$18.22	-$3.24	46% 1703-1963 (3666)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 63.3¢	$18.05	$15	-$0.89	62% 4661-2837 (7498)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 90.5¢	$14.41	$13	-$1.41	66% 3992-2014 (6006)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Downavg 40.7¢	$7.47	—	-$7.47	46% 3313-3856 (7169)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 51.7¢	$4.46	$8.63	+$4.17	54% 2727-2307 (5034)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 35¢	$3.5	—	-$3.5	48% 2561-2807 (5368)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 50.5¢	$21.21	—	-$17.71	47% 2455-2714 (5169)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Upavg 51¢	$2.55	$5	+$2.45	58% 5200-3842 (9042)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$2.55	—	-$2.55	51% 1142-1077 (2219)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 17¢	$1.7	—	-$1.7	43% 2420-3146 (5566)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 16¢	$0.96	—	-$0.96	42% 2109-2870 (4979)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 14.4¢	$1.02	—	-$1.02	52% 3060-2773 (5833)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.04	—	-$0.04	53% 1608-1411 (3019)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1496-2655 (4151)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 22¢	$3.9	—	-$3.9	40% 1745-2665 (4410)