Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 44%
1 arb excluded
$2.4K
-$67.17
Smart Money Signal
8 of 18 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$0.79 | 60% 615-414 (1029) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $500.04 | $490.06 | -$3.38 | 54% 4250-3596 (7846) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $245.04 | $490.06 | +$246.62 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $329.67 | $333 | +$3.33 | 98% 4530-94 (4624) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 77.4¢ | $69.08 | $58.67 | -$10.41 | 50% 4615-4686 (9301) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.8¢ | $46.4 | — | -$27.65 | 51% 2557-2416 (4973) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $22 | — | -$22 | 51% 1142-1077 (2219) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 50.7¢ | $14.41 | $28.41 | +$14 | 51% 2193-2101 (4294) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $11.2 | $11.79 | +$0.59 | 46% 3313-3856 (7169) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $11.85 | $15 | +$3.15 | 54% 2727-2307 (5034) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $5.65 | $5 | -$0.65 | 52% 3882-3606 (7488) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.4¢ | $10.14 | — | -$10.14 | 47% 2455-2714 (5169) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $5.61 | — | -$5.61 | 62% 4661-2837 (7498) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $3.96 | $6 | +$2.04 | 66% 3992-2014 (6006) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 26.4¢ | $2.64 | — | -$2.64 | 48% 2561-2807 (5368) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.8¢ | $8.12 | — | -$8.12 | 53% 1608-1411 (3019) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 50% 2856-2850 (5706) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.1¢ | $1.38 | — | -$1.38 | 34% 1241-2451 (3692) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 40% 1745-2665 (4410) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 49% 3629-3731 (7360) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$0.79
Record
60%
615-414 (1029)
Invested
$500.04
Value
$490.06
PnL
-$3.38
Record
54%
4250-3596 (7846)
Both legs:
Invested
$329.67
Value
$333
PnL
+$3.33
Record
98%
4530-94 (4624)
Invested
$69.08
Value
$58.67
PnL
-$10.41
Record
50%
4615-4686 (9301)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$46.4
Value
—
PnL
-$27.65
Record
51%
2557-2416 (4973)
Invested
$22
Value
—
PnL
-$22
Record
51%
1142-1077 (2219)
Invested
$14.41
Value
$28.41
PnL
+$14
Record
51%
2193-2101 (4294)
Invested
$11.2
Value
$11.79
PnL
+$0.59
Record
46%
3313-3856 (7169)
Invested
$11.85
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.15
Record
54%
2727-2307 (5034)
Invested
$5.65
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.65
Record
52%
3882-3606 (7488)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$10.14
Value
—
PnL
-$10.14
Record
47%
2455-2714 (5169)
Invested
$5.61
Value
—
PnL
-$5.61
Record
62%
4661-2837 (7498)
Invested
$3.96
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.04
Record
66%
3992-2014 (6006)
Invested
$2.64
Value
—
PnL
-$2.64
Record
48%
2561-2807 (5368)
Invested
$8.12
Value
—
PnL
-$8.12
Record
53%
1608-1411 (3019)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
50%
2856-2850 (5706)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.38
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
34%
1241-2451 (3692)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
40%
1745-2665 (4410)
Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
49%
3629-3731 (7360)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.5K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $333
asdcaxz
Up — $58.67
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
Little-big
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $28.41
suntori
Up — $11.79
ply-pm2
Up — $15
soswald1
Up — $5