Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 71%
$2.4K
-$71.89
Smart Money Signal
12 of 17 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$6.52 | 60% 615-414 (1029) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $507.7 | $507.19 | +$4.38 | 54% 4250-3596 (7846) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $255.96 | $258.55 | +$2.59 | 98% 4530-94 (4624) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $60.43 | $60.98 | +$0.55 | 34% 1241-2451 (3692) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $41.49 | $43.85 | +$2.36 | 50% 4615-4686 (9301) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 73.2¢ | $16.95 | $23.16 | +$6.21 | 52% 3882-3606 (7488) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 76.7¢ | $12 | $15.65 | +$3.65 | 54% 2727-2307 (5034) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 75.5¢ | $17.36 | $23 | +$5.64 | 51% 2193-2101 (4294) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.7¢ | $10.7 | — | -$10.7 | 48% 2561-2807 (5368) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 78.6¢ | $7.71 | $9.81 | +$2.1 | 52% 3060-2773 (5833) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $4.5 | $5.17 | +$0.67 | 66% 3992-2014 (6006) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.5¢ | $2.95 | — | -$2.95 | 48% 2538-2754 (5292) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.8¢ | $22.15 | — | -$2.6 | 51% 2557-2416 (4973) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $2.55 | $5 | +$2.45 | 51% 1142-1077 (2219) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $3.85 | $5 | +$1.15 | 62% 4661-2837 (7498) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.3¢ | $90.73 | — | -$90.73 | 49% 2514-2591 (5105) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.3¢ | $3.17 | — | -$3.17 | 40% 1745-2665 (4410) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$6.52
Record
60%
615-414 (1029)
Invested
$507.7
Value
$507.19
PnL
+$4.38
Record
54%
4250-3596 (7846)
Invested
$255.96
Value
$258.55
PnL
+$2.59
Record
98%
4530-94 (4624)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$60.43
Value
$60.98
PnL
+$0.55
Record
34%
1241-2451 (3692)
Invested
$41.49
Value
$43.85
PnL
+$2.36
Record
50%
4615-4686 (9301)
Invested
$16.95
Value
$23.16
PnL
+$6.21
Record
52%
3882-3606 (7488)
Invested
$12
Value
$15.65
PnL
+$3.65
Record
54%
2727-2307 (5034)
Invested
$17.36
Value
$23
PnL
+$5.64
Record
51%
2193-2101 (4294)
Invested
$10.7
Value
—
PnL
-$10.7
Record
48%
2561-2807 (5368)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.71
Value
$9.81
PnL
+$2.1
Record
52%
3060-2773 (5833)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$5.17
PnL
+$0.67
Record
66%
3992-2014 (6006)
Invested
$2.95
Value
—
PnL
-$2.95
Record
48%
2538-2754 (5292)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$22.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
51%
2557-2416 (4973)
Invested
$2.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.45
Record
51%
1142-1077 (2219)
Invested
$3.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.15
Record
62%
4661-2837 (7498)
Invested
$90.73
Value
—
PnL
-$90.73
Record
49%
2514-2591 (5105)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.17
Value
—
PnL
-$3.17
Record
40%
1745-2665 (4410)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
Down — $507.19
hoodquant
Down — $258.55
pspspsps5
Down — $60.98
asdcaxz
Down — $43.85
soswald1
Down — $23.16
ply-pm2
Down — $15.65
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $23
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $9.81