Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
23
Up 57%
$2.1K
$-1.4K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 23 top traders (57%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | β | $-1.4K | 60% 615-414 (1029) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 63.9Β’ | $620.06 | $799.15 | +$205.09 | 49% 2514-2591 (5105) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8Β’ | $558.28 | $565 | +$6.72 | 98% 4530-94 (4624) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.2Β’ | $508.77 | $497 | +$1.73 | 54% 4250-3596 (7846) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50Β’ | $150 | β | -$150 | 52% 3882-3606 (7488) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.3Β’ | $89.55 | β | -$89.29 | 50% 4615-4686 (9301) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 63.2Β’ | $42.73 | $47.46 | +$4.72 | 54% 2727-2307 (5034) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 91.8Β’ | $37.13 | $37.33 | +$0.2 | 66% 3992-2014 (6006) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 23Β’ | $30.5 | β | -$30.5 | 51% 2557-2416 (4973) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 59Β’ | $29.5 | $50 | +$20.5 | 51% 1142-1077 (2219) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 95.9Β’ | $13.57 | $13 | -$0.57 | 50% 2856-2850 (5706) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 64Β’ | $12.8 | $20 | +$7.2 | 60% 4264-2896 (7160) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 37Β’ | $5.55 | β | -$5.55 | 47% 2455-2714 (5169) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 64.3Β’ | $8.56 | $9 | +$1.81 | 62% 4661-2837 (7498) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 72Β’ | $7.2 | $10 | +$2.8 | 52% 3060-2773 (5833) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 19Β’ | $5.85 | β | -$5.85 | 43% 2420-3146 (5566) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 92Β’ | $5.7 | $6.2 | +$0.5 | 65% 2837-1544 (4381) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 92Β’ | $5.52 | $6 | +$0.48 | 42% 2109-2870 (4979) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 41Β’ | $4.1 | $10 | +$5.9 | 48% 2561-2807 (5368) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.3Β’ | $0.92 | β | -$0.92 | 34% 1241-2451 (3692) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.6 | β | -$0.6 | 49% 3629-3731 (7360) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.5Β’ | $2.77 | β | -$2.77 | 40% 1745-2665 (4410) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 49.9Β’ | $5.95 | β | -$5.95 | 46% 1703-1963 (3666) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
β
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
60%
615-414 (1029)
Invested
$620.06
Value
$799.15
PnL
+$205.09
Record
49%
2514-2591 (5105)
Invested
$558.28
Value
$565
PnL
+$6.72
Record
98%
4530-94 (4624)
Invested
$508.77
Value
$497
PnL
+$1.73
Record
54%
4250-3596 (7846)
Invested
$150
Value
β
PnL
-$150
Record
52%
3882-3606 (7488)
Invested
$89.55
Value
β
PnL
-$89.29
Record
50%
4615-4686 (9301)
Invested
$42.73
Value
$47.46
PnL
+$4.72
Record
54%
2727-2307 (5034)
Invested
$37.13
Value
$37.33
PnL
+$0.2
Record
66%
3992-2014 (6006)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$30.5
Value
β
PnL
-$30.5
Record
51%
2557-2416 (4973)
Invested
$29.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$20.5
Record
51%
1142-1077 (2219)
Invested
$13.57
Value
$13
PnL
-$0.57
Record
50%
2856-2850 (5706)
Invested
$12.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$7.2
Record
60%
4264-2896 (7160)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.55
Value
β
PnL
-$5.55
Record
47%
2455-2714 (5169)
Invested
$8.56
Value
$9
PnL
+$1.81
Record
62%
4661-2837 (7498)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.8
Record
52%
3060-2773 (5833)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$5.85
Value
β
PnL
-$5.85
Record
43%
2420-3146 (5566)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$6.2
PnL
+$0.5
Record
65%
2837-1544 (4381)
Invested
$5.52
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.48
Record
42%
2109-2870 (4979)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.9
Record
48%
2561-2807 (5368)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.92
Value
β
PnL
-$0.92
Record
34%
1241-2451 (3692)
Invested
$0.6
Value
β
PnL
-$0.6
Record
49%
3629-3731 (7360)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.77
Value
β
PnL
-$2.77
Record
40%
1745-2665 (4410)
Invested
$5.95
Value
β
PnL
-$5.95
Record
46%
1703-1963 (3666)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown β $0
uninformedfloww
Up β $799.15
hoodquant
Up β $565
ByteBadger92
Up β $497
soswald1
CTRDown β $0
asdcaxz
CTRDown β $0
ply-pm2
Up β $47.46
asdaefef
Up β $37.33

Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown β $0
Little-big
Up β $50