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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

21

Up 55%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

$40.35

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 21 top traders (57%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up12 traders
Total Value$866.39
Total Shares866
Combined PnL+$438.94
Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares523
Combined PnL-$398.59
Up β€” 57%Down β€” 43%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$38.32

Record

60%

615-414 (1029)

Both legs:

Down$632.7250Β’-$605.53
Up$650.1150Β’+$643.86
UN
uninformedfloww
Up

Invested

$153.83

Value

$517.96

PnL

+$364.13

Record

49%

2514-2591 (5105)

BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$503.84

Value

$503.73

PnL

+$3.4

Record

54%

4250-3596 (7846)

Both legs:

Up$248.2849.3Β’+$253.4
Down$25050Β’-$250
AS
asdcaxzCTR
Down

Invested

$197.81

Value

β€”

PnL

-$197.81

Record

50%

4615-4686 (9301)

SO
soswald1
Up

Invested

$151.95

Value

$100

PnL

+$4.49

Record

52%

3882-3606 (7488)

RA
rabadabadooCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$56.04

Value

β€”

PnL

-$56.04

Record

46%

1703-1963 (3666)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$42.34

Value

β€”

PnL

-$42.34

Record

54%

2727-2307 (5034)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$38.85

Value

β€”

PnL

-$38.85

Record

66%

3992-2014 (6006)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$35.88

Value

$54

PnL

+$18.12

Record

48%

2561-2807 (5368)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$54.01

Value

$37.49

PnL

-$15.58

Record

62%

4661-2837 (7498)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$41.11

Value

$94.99

PnL

+$53.88

Record

47%

2455-2714 (5169)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$78.98

Value

β€”

PnL

-$12.02

Record

51%

2557-2416 (4973)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$20.99

Value

$25.39

PnL

+$4.4

Record

50%

2856-2850 (5706)

LI
Little-bigCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$24.5

Value

β€”

PnL

-$24.5

Record

51%

1142-1077 (2219)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.75

Value

β€”

PnL

-$10.75

Record

43%

2420-3146 (5566)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Up

Invested

$9.15

Value

$10.53

PnL

+$1.38

Record

50%

1757-1792 (3549)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$9.31

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.69

Record

65%

2837-1544 (4381)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Up

Invested

$5.61

Value

$5.62

PnL

+$0.01

Record

53%

1608-1411 (3019)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$3.3

Value

$5.41

PnL

+$2.11

Record

40%

1745-2665 (4410)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.82

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.82

Record

48%

2538-2754 (5292)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$2.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.45

Record

52%

3060-2773 (5833)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$13.45

Value

β€”

PnL

-$13.45

Record

51%

2193-2101 (4294)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$5.46

Value

β€”

PnL

+$2.86

Record

60%

4264-2896 (7160)