Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
26
Down 46%
$1.3K
$-1.6K
Smart Money Signal
12 of 26 top traders (46%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 60% 615-414 (1029) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.6¢ | $508.67 | $500 | -$3.02 | 54% 4250-3596 (7846) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $236.61 | $239 | +$2.39 | 98% 4530-94 (4624) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 51.3¢ | $154.45 | $139 | +$1.32 | 52% 3882-3606 (7488) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 71.5¢ | $143.18 | $128.05 | -$15.13 | 49% 3629-3731 (7360) |
 wowitsamazing | Upavg 44.4¢ | $49.95 | $112.54 | +$62.59 | 49% 218-223 (441) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $63.76 | $74.16 | +$10.4 | 50% 4615-4686 (9301) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $45.74 | $49.99 | +$4.25 | 47% 2455-2714 (5169) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 49.3¢ | $34.86 | $31 | +$5.74 | 52% 5200-4875 (10075) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Downavg 31.9¢ | $115.69 | — | -$22.65 | 51% 2557-2416 (4973) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 64.7¢ | $32.5 | $22.91 | -$1.74 | 60% 4264-2896 (7160) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 46.9¢ | $14.12 | $15.5 | +$7.06 | 46% 1703-1963 (3666) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $6.72 | $12 | +$5.28 | 58% 5200-3842 (9042) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $4.7 | $10 | +$5.3 | 48% 2538-2754 (5292) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $6.72 | $7 | +$0.28 | 62% 4661-2837 (7498) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.08 | $4.08 | +$2 | 50% 977-973 (1950) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.7¢ | $1.74 | — | -$1.74 | 34% 1241-2451 (3692) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 55.5¢ | $34.94 | — | -$34.94 | 51% 2193-2101 (4294) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $15.75 | — | -$15.75 | 48% 1505-1632 (3137) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 40% 1745-2665 (4410) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.4¢ | $10.66 | — | -$10.66 | 48% 2561-2807 (5368) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 49.8¢ | $213.2 | — | -$213.2 | 49% 2514-2591 (5105) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.2¢ | $4.6 | — | -$4.6 | 52% 3060-2773 (5833) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 36% 1496-2655 (4151) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 42.6¢ | $21.15 | — | -$6.15 | 54% 2727-2307 (5034) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
60%
615-414 (1029)
Invested
$508.67
Value
$500
PnL
-$3.02
Record
54%
4250-3596 (7846)
Invested
$236.61
Value
$239
PnL
+$2.39
Record
98%
4530-94 (4624)
Invested
$154.45
Value
$139
PnL
+$1.32
Record
52%
3882-3606 (7488)
Invested
$143.18
Value
$128.05
PnL
-$15.13
Record
49%
3629-3731 (7360)
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.95
Value
$112.54
PnL
+$62.59
Record
49%
218-223 (441)
Invested
$63.76
Value
$74.16
PnL
+$10.4
Record
50%
4615-4686 (9301)
ohioism<$100Invested
$45.74
Value
$49.99
PnL
+$4.25
Record
47%
2455-2714 (5169)
Invested
$34.86
Value
$31
PnL
+$5.74
Record
52%
5200-4875 (10075)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$115.69
Value
—
PnL
-$22.65
Record
51%
2557-2416 (4973)
Invested
$32.5
Value
$22.91
PnL
-$1.74
Record
60%
4264-2896 (7160)
Invested
$14.12
Value
$15.5
PnL
+$7.06
Record
46%
1703-1963 (3666)
Invested
$6.72
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.28
Record
58%
5200-3842 (9042)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.3
Record
48%
2538-2754 (5292)
Invested
$6.72
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.28
Record
62%
4661-2837 (7498)
Invested
$2.08
Value
$4.08
PnL
+$2
Record
50%
977-973 (1950)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.74
Value
—
PnL
-$1.74
Record
34%
1241-2451 (3692)
Invested
$34.94
Value
—
PnL
-$34.94
Record
51%
2193-2101 (4294)
Invested
$15.75
Value
—
PnL
-$15.75
Record
48%
1505-1632 (3137)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
40%
1745-2665 (4410)
Invested
$10.66
Value
—
PnL
-$10.66
Record
48%
2561-2807 (5368)
Invested
$213.2
Value
—
PnL
-$213.2
Record
49%
2514-2591 (5105)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$4.6
Record
52%
3060-2773 (5833)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
36%
1496-2655 (4151)
Invested
$21.15
Value
—
PnL
-$6.15
Record
54%
2727-2307 (5034)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
hoodquant
Up — $239
soswald1
Up — $139
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $128.05
wowitsamazing
Up — $112.54
asdcaxz
Up — $74.16
ohioism
Up — $49.99
blue.birds
Up — $31
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0