Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 45%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$363.81

Smart Money Signal

10 of 22 top traders (45%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders

Total Value$1.8K

Total Shares1,763

Combined PnL+$0.29

Down12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares431

Combined PnL-$364.1

Up — 45%Down — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$2.42	60% 609-408 (1017)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.9¢	$500.61	$491.8	+$0.39	54% 4218-3562 (7780)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$245.61	$491.8	+$245.59
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$245	—	-$245.2
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$144.54	$146	+$1.46	98% 4498-92 (4590)
AS asdcaxzCTR	Downavg 46.2¢	$129.76	—	-$129.76	50% 4592-4670 (9262)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 99¢	$133.31	$111	-$22.31	51% 2181-2090 (4271)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 48.3¢	$60.87	—	-$60.87	49% 3629-3730 (7359)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$78.37	—	-$68.47	51% 2540-2400 (4940)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 56¢	$35.53	$35	-$0.53	54% 2708-2292 (5000)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Downavg 43.2¢	$24.78	—	-$24.78	47% 1695-1948 (3643)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 45¢	$31.12	—	-$22.87	49% 2495-2563 (5058)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Downavg 61.6¢	$32.27	—	-$30.17	52% 3858-3579 (7437)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 79¢	$13.11	—	-$13.11	60% 4239-2880 (7119)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Upavg 50¢	$13	$26	+$13	58% 5191-3834 (9025)
SU suntori<$100	Upavg 96.5¢	$11.2	$11.61	+$0.41	46% 3282-3819 (7101)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 95¢	$11.4	$12	+$0.6	62% 4631-2815 (7446)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 36.9¢	$5.16	—	-$5.16	48% 2518-2730 (5248)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 38¢	$3.23	—	-$3.23	48% 2544-2786 (5330)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 83¢	$7.8	$5	-$2.8	67% 3966-1997 (5963)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 42¢	$2.52	$6	+$3.48	48% 2440-2688 (5128)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 54¢	$1.17	—	-$1.17	52% 3043-2759 (5802)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$2.2	—	-$2.2	40% 1734-2647 (4381)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 24¢	$1.44	$6	+$4.56	42% 2086-2846 (4932)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 23.5¢	$2.31	—	-$2.31	36% 1488-2638 (4126)