Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 67%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.1K

Combined PnL

-$232.01

Smart Money Signal

12 of 18 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares430

Combined PnL-$249.66

Down6 traders

Total Value$223.85

Total Shares224

Combined PnL+$17.65

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$14.27	60% 609-408 (1017)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$693.81	$1.4K	+$704.93
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$685.65	—	-$690.65
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.2¢	$512.07	$495.29	-$5.66	54% 4218-3562 (7780)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.7¢	$248.27	—	-$248.3
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.2¢	$248.65	$495.29	+$242.64
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 54.1¢	$99.75	—	-$89.1	50% 4592-4670 (9262)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 51.8¢	$77.17	—	-$77.17	51% 2540-2400 (4940)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Downavg 56.7¢	$64.9	$57.21	-$2.08	47% 1695-1948 (3643)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 71.7¢	$61.57	$54.02	-$7.55	54% 2708-2292 (5000)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 69.9¢	$46.05	$50.29	+$4.24	52% 3858-3579 (7437)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 70.6¢	$33.24	$34	+$0.76	62% 4631-2815 (7446)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 37.8¢	$18.9	—	-$18.9	48% 2518-2730 (5248)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$16.7	—	-$16.7	44% 2407-3121 (5528)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	$9	—	-$9	48% 2440-2688 (5128)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 44.8¢	$21.94	—	-$14.8	67% 3966-1997 (5963)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	$4.65	—	-$4.65	48% 2544-2786 (5330)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Upavg 60¢	$7.8	—	-$7.8	58% 5191-3834 (9025)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 32¢	$4.8	$15	+$10.2	49% 2495-2563 (5058)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 43¢	$4.3	—	-$4.3	40% 1734-2647 (4381)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	$2.9	—	-$2.9	65% 2817-1530 (4347)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1488-2638 (4126)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 9.4¢	$1.25	$13.33	+$12.08	52% 3043-2759 (5802)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 27.4¢	$4.3	—	-$4.3	50% 2835-2829 (5664)