Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 47%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

-$495.84

Smart Money Signal

8 of 17 top traders (47%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$392.61

Total Shares393

Combined PnL+$45.19

Up8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares916

Combined PnL-$541.03

Down — 53%Up — 47%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.2K	+$9.18	60% 609-408 (1017)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$616.71	$1.2K	+$613.89
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$609.05	—	-$604.72
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$501.66	$490	-$4.36	54% 4218-3562 (7780)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$245.4
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$246.66	—	-$249.76
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$206.91	$209	+$2.09	98% 4498-92 (4590)
Polkadot-FrogCTR	Upavg 58.9¢	$130.5	—	-$125.55	51% 2540-2400 (4940)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 54.2¢	$391.2	—	-$361.12	49% 2495-2563 (5058)
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Upavg 34.6¢	$47.54	$62	+$14.46	50% 4592-4670 (9262)
└ Up leg	Upavg 34.6¢	$40.5	—	-$40.5
└ Down leg	Downavg 11.4¢	$7.04	$62	+$54.96
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 71.7¢	$43.68	$45	+$1.32	54% 2708-2292 (5000)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 51.9¢	$15.7	$30.23	+$14.53	52% 3858-3579 (7437)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Downavg 46.9¢	$20.92	$28.44	+$7.52	47% 1695-1948 (3643)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 76.8¢	$39.93	$24	-$0.76	62% 4631-2815 (7446)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 33.3¢	$10.67	—	-$10.67	48% 2440-2688 (5128)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Upavg 45¢	$15.75	—	-$15.75	48% 1498-1615 (3113)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 44.4¢	$15.55	—	-$15.55	44% 2407-3121 (5528)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 70.8¢	$11.54	$11	-$0.54	52% 3043-2759 (5802)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 82¢	$12.35	$10.12	-$2.23	67% 3966-1997 (5963)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 47¢	$6.97	$14.82	+$7.85	48% 2518-2730 (5248)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 23¢	$4.6	$20	+$15.4	60% 4239-2880 (7119)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 42¢	$2.52	—	-$2.52	42% 2086-2846 (4932)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 48¢	$2.4	—	-$2.4	48% 2544-2786 (5330)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 18.7¢	$7.47	—	-$7.47	46% 3282-3819 (7101)