Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 56%
$1.8K
-$578.68
Smart Money Signal
10 of 18 top traders (56%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$1.17 | 60% 609-408 (1017) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.4¢ | $502 | — | -$501.13 | 54% 4218-3562 (7780) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $150.1 | $151.62 | +$1.52 | 98% 4498-92 (4590) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 96¢ | $112.54 | $80 | -$29.34 | 51% 2540-2400 (4940) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 73.1¢ | $67.45 | $55.36 | -$12.09 | 50% 4592-4670 (9262) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $46.2 | $50 | +$7.5 | 48% 2440-2688 (5128) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 38.5¢ | $15.4 | — | -$15.4 | 48% 2518-2730 (5248) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $16.2 | — | -$16.2 | 51% 2181-2090 (4271) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $18.91 | $15 | -$3.91 | 54% 2708-2292 (5000) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 67.8¢ | $16.28 | — | -$16.28 | 58% 5191-3834 (9025) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $9.3 | $15.25 | +$5.95 | 44% 2407-3121 (5528) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $2.85 | $5 | +$2.15 | 62% 4631-2815 (7446) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $2.85 | $5 | +$2.15 | 52% 3858-3579 (7437) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.7¢ | $4.73 | — | -$4.73 | 53% 1595-1405 (3000) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $3.69 | $9 | +$5.31 | 51% 1133-1071 (2204) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $1.86 | — | -$1.86 | 46% 3282-3819 (7101) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 21.8¢ | $3.22 | — | -$3.22 | 52% 3043-2759 (5802) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.27 | — | -$0.27 | 40% 1734-2647 (4381) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$1.17
Record
60%
609-408 (1017)
Invested
$502
Value
—
PnL
-$501.13
Record
54%
4218-3562 (7780)
Invested
$150.1
Value
$151.62
PnL
+$1.52
Record
98%
4498-92 (4590)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$112.54
Value
$80
PnL
-$29.34
Record
51%
2540-2400 (4940)
Invested
$67.45
Value
$55.36
PnL
-$12.09
Record
50%
4592-4670 (9262)
ohioism<$100Invested
$46.2
Value
$50
PnL
+$7.5
Record
48%
2440-2688 (5128)
Invested
$15.4
Value
—
PnL
-$15.4
Record
48%
2518-2730 (5248)
Invested
$16.2
Value
—
PnL
-$16.2
Record
51%
2181-2090 (4271)
Invested
$18.91
Value
$15
PnL
-$3.91
Record
54%
2708-2292 (5000)
Invested
$16.28
Value
—
PnL
-$16.28
Record
58%
5191-3834 (9025)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$9.3
Value
$15.25
PnL
+$5.95
Record
44%
2407-3121 (5528)
Invested
$2.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.15
Record
62%
4631-2815 (7446)
Invested
$2.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.15
Record
52%
3858-3579 (7437)
Invested
$4.73
Value
—
PnL
-$4.73
Record
53%
1595-1405 (3000)
Invested
$3.69
Value
$9
PnL
+$5.31
Record
51%
1133-1071 (2204)
Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.86
Record
46%
3282-3819 (7101)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.22
Value
—
PnL
-$3.22
Record
52%
3043-2759 (5802)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.27
Value
—
PnL
-$0.27
Record
40%
1734-2647 (4381)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $151.62
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $80
asdcaxz
Down — $55.36
ohioism
Down — $50
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $15
Hcrystallash
CTRUp — $0