Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 52%
1 arb excluded
$2.8K
-$637.86
Smart Money Signal
11 of 21 top traders (52%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$12.5 | 60% 595-399 (994) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 54.6¢ | $530.65 | — | -$530.65 | 49% 2456-2514 (4970) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.4¢ | $507 | $489.54 | -$13.62 | 54% 4162-3504 (7666) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.4¢ | $257 | — | -$257 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $244.77 | $489.54 | +$243.38 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $494.01 | $499 | +$4.99 | 98% 4434-91 (4525) |
SU suntori | Upavg 36.8¢ | $120.17 | $256.15 | +$205.58 | 46% 3240-3776 (7016) |
AS asdcaxzCTR | Downavg 69¢ | $223.52 | — | -$223.52 | 50% 4548-4636 (9184) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 99¢ | $109.89 | $111 | +$1.11 | 51% 2151-2062 (4213) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 93.9¢ | $96.87 | $70 | -$26.87 | 51% 2506-2369 (4875) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 83.7¢ | $51.41 | $36.69 | -$14.72 | 54% 2675-2263 (4938) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 64.4¢ | $33.22 | — | -$30.78 | 60% 4192-2848 (7040) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $22.72 | $22.39 | -$0.33 | 66% 3908-1973 (5881) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 76.4¢ | $26.81 | $21 | -$5.81 | 52% 2997-2745 (5742) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 72.3¢ | $28.65 | — | -$28.65 | 52% 3806-3541 (7347) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 44.8¢ | $19.19 | $22.62 | +$3.43 | 46% 1673-1927 (3600) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $9.4 | $15 | +$5.6 | 62% 4574-2778 (7352) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $2.07 | — | -$2.07 | 48% 2407-2652 (5059) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.9¢ | $2.16 | — | -$2.16 | 44% 2374-3081 (5455) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $1.53 | — | -$1.53 | 48% 2509-2762 (5271) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 40% 1709-2617 (4326) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 13.5¢ | $2.43 | — | -$2.43 | 48% 2484-2691 (5175) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 | 50% 955-949 (1904) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 50% 2795-2794 (5589) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$12.5
Record
60%
595-399 (994)
Invested
$530.65
Value
—
PnL
-$530.65
Record
49%
2456-2514 (4970)
Invested
$507
Value
$489.54
PnL
-$13.62
Record
54%
4162-3504 (7666)
Both legs:
Invested
$494.01
Value
$499
PnL
+$4.99
Record
98%
4434-91 (4525)
Invested
$120.17
Value
$256.15
PnL
+$205.58
Record
46%
3240-3776 (7016)
Invested
$223.52
Value
—
PnL
-$223.52
Record
50%
4548-4636 (9184)
Invested
$109.89
Value
$111
PnL
+$1.11
Record
51%
2151-2062 (4213)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$96.87
Value
$70
PnL
-$26.87
Record
51%
2506-2369 (4875)
Invested
$51.41
Value
$36.69
PnL
-$14.72
Record
54%
2675-2263 (4938)
Invested
$33.22
Value
—
PnL
-$30.78
Record
60%
4192-2848 (7040)
Invested
$22.72
Value
$22.39
PnL
-$0.33
Record
66%
3908-1973 (5881)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$26.81
Value
$21
PnL
-$5.81
Record
52%
2997-2745 (5742)
Invested
$28.65
Value
—
PnL
-$28.65
Record
52%
3806-3541 (7347)
Invested
$19.19
Value
$22.62
PnL
+$3.43
Record
46%
1673-1927 (3600)
Invested
$9.4
Value
$15
PnL
+$5.6
Record
62%
4574-2778 (7352)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.07
Value
—
PnL
-$2.07
Record
48%
2407-2652 (5059)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.16
Value
—
PnL
-$2.16
Record
44%
2374-3081 (5455)
Invested
$1.53
Value
—
PnL
-$1.53
Record
48%
2509-2762 (5271)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
40%
1709-2617 (4326)
Invested
$2.43
Value
—
PnL
-$2.43
Record
48%
2484-2691 (5175)
Invested
$1
Value
$2
PnL
+$1
Record
50%
955-949 (1904)
Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
50%
2795-2794 (5589)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.3K
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $499
suntori
Up — $256.15
asdcaxz
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $111
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $70
ply-pm2
Up — $36.69
aaa221
CTRDown — $0