Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 53%
1 arb excluded
$2.7K
-$113.32
Smart Money Signal
10 of 19 top traders (53%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | -$4.45 | 60% 595-399 (994) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $502.15 | $500 | -$2.15 | 54% 4162-3504 (7666) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.9¢ | $252.15 | — | -$252.15 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $433.66 | $439 | +$5.34 | 98% 4434-91 (4525) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 51.6¢ | $157.5 | $160 | +$8.6 | 52% 3806-3541 (7347) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 76.7¢ | $44.64 | $45 | +$0.36 | 49% 3600-3701 (7301) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 93.5¢ | $39.68 | $30 | +$2.2 | 40% 1709-2617 (4326) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $23.04 | $27.75 | +$4.71 | 60% 4192-2848 (7040) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $18.66 | $18.09 | -$0.49 | 66% 3908-1973 (5881) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $32.88 | $15 | +$27.52 | 51% 2506-2369 (4875) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $14.98 | $15 | +$0.02 | 53% 1576-1397 (2973) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.8¢ | $14.39 | — | -$14.39 | 50% 4548-4636 (9184) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 65% 2772-1511 (4283) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $4.6 | — | -$4.6 | 44% 2374-3081 (5455) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 54% 2675-2263 (4938) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $1.86 | — | -$1.86 | 46% 3240-3776 (7016) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $1.79 | — | -$1.79 | 46% 1673-1927 (3600) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 48% 2407-2652 (5059) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 48% 2484-2691 (5175) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $2.15 | — | -$1.24 | 62% 4574-2778 (7352) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 23.7¢ | $126.4 | — | -$126.4 | 49% 2456-2514 (4970) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$4.45
Record
60%
595-399 (994)
Invested
$502.15
Value
$500
PnL
-$2.15
Record
54%
4162-3504 (7666)
Both legs:
Invested
$433.66
Value
$439
PnL
+$5.34
Record
98%
4434-91 (4525)
Invested
$157.5
Value
$160
PnL
+$8.6
Record
52%
3806-3541 (7347)
Invested
$44.64
Value
$45
PnL
+$0.36
Record
49%
3600-3701 (7301)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$39.68
Value
$30
PnL
+$2.2
Record
40%
1709-2617 (4326)
Invested
$23.04
Value
$27.75
PnL
+$4.71
Record
60%
4192-2848 (7040)
Invested
$18.66
Value
$18.09
PnL
-$0.49
Record
66%
3908-1973 (5881)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$32.88
Value
$15
PnL
+$27.52
Record
51%
2506-2369 (4875)
Invested
$14.98
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.02
Record
53%
1576-1397 (2973)
Invested
$14.39
Value
—
PnL
-$14.39
Record
50%
4548-4636 (9184)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
65%
2772-1511 (4283)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$4.6
Record
44%
2374-3081 (5455)
Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
54%
2675-2263 (4938)
Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.86
Record
46%
3240-3776 (7016)
Invested
$1.79
Value
—
PnL
-$1.79
Record
46%
1673-1927 (3600)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
48%
2407-2652 (5059)
Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
48%
2484-2691 (5175)
Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.24
Record
62%
4574-2778 (7352)
Invested
$126.4
Value
—
PnL
-$126.4
Record
49%
2456-2514 (4970)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.5K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $439
soswald1
Up — $160
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $45
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $30
aaa221
Up — $27.75
asdaefef
Up — $18.09
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $15
0x50f7
Up — $15