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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

25

Down 68%

Total Value

$2.0K

Combined PnL

$-1.7K

Smart Money Signal

Down

17 of 25 top traders (68%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,080
Combined PnL$-1.9K
Down17 traders
Total Value$2.0K
Total Shares1,963
Combined PnL+$263.25
Up — 32%Down — 68%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

—

PnL

$-1.3K

Record

60%

595-399 (994)

HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$628.44

Value

$636

PnL

+$7.56

Record

98%

4434-91 (4525)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down

Invested

$535.7

Value

$561

PnL

+$75.79

Record

42%

2048-2798 (4846)

BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$517.33

Value

—

PnL

-$501

Record

54%

4162-3504 (7666)

UN
uninformedfloww
Down

Invested

$240.43

Value

$355.13

PnL

+$114.7

Record

49%

2456-2514 (4970)

SO
soswald1
Down

Invested

$158.4

Value

$140

PnL

+$8.56

Record

52%

3806-3541 (7347)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$77.89

Value

$94.81

PnL

+$16.97

Record

49%

3600-3701 (7301)

ohioism<$100
Down

Invested

$41.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$8.5

Record

48%

2407-2652 (5059)

PB
PBot-5<$100
Down

Invested

$14.26

Value

$31

PnL

+$16.74

Record

48%

1480-1593 (3073)

Polkadot-FrogCTR
Up

Invested

$114.12

Value

—

PnL

-$27.62

Record

51%

2506-2369 (4875)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$21.93

Value

—

PnL

-$21.93

Record

54%

2675-2263 (4938)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$12.7

Value

$16.88

PnL

+$4.18

Record

66%

3908-1973 (5881)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$21.65

Value

$15

PnL

-$5.3

Record

50%

4548-4636 (9184)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$12.6

Value

$15

PnL

+$2.4

Record

70%

1807-771 (2578)

HC
Hcrystallash<$100
Down

Invested

$5.61

Value

$11

PnL

+$5.39

Record

58%

5174-3818 (8992)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$9.99

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.01

Record

53%

1576-1397 (2973)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.5

Value

$5.84

PnL

+$1.34

Record

65%

2772-1511 (4283)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$4.5

Value

$5.73

PnL

+$1.23

Record

50%

2795-2794 (5589)

RA
rabadabadoo<$100
Down

Invested

$3

Value

$5.17

PnL

+$2.17

Record

46%

1673-1927 (3600)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$2.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.1

Record

62%

4574-2778 (7352)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Down

Invested

$4.1

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.9

Record

44%

2374-3081 (5455)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$14

Value

—

PnL

-$14

Record

51%

2151-2062 (4213)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.16

Value

—

PnL

-$0.16

Record

52%

2997-2745 (5742)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.86

Value

—

PnL

-$1.86

Record

46%

3240-3776 (7016)

wowitsamazingCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$49.79

Value

—

PnL

-$49.79

Record

49%

209-220 (429)