Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 39% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
28
Up 39%
$718.34
$-2.0K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 28 top traders (39%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 60% 584-385 (969) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.7¢ | $501.15 | — | -$500.97 | 54% 4094-3445 (7539) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $237.29 | $240.38 | +$3.09 | 98% 4362-90 (4452) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 52.3¢ | $158.6 | $155 | +$2.25 | 52% 3756-3495 (7251) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 65.5¢ | $105.4 | $120.66 | +$15.26 | 50% 4512-4591 (9103) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Upavg 35.4¢ | $100.24 | — | -$49.52 | 52% 2477-2332 (4809) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 57.5¢ | $35.06 | — | -$35.06 | 51% 2128-2037 (4165) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 91.7¢ | $25.99 | $25.14 | -$0.85 | 67% 3861-1939 (5800) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 63.3¢ | $14.19 | $22.42 | +$8.23 | 44% 2349-3036 (5385) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 59.7¢ | $12.29 | $20.6 | +$8.31 | 60% 4136-2815 (6951) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 88.6¢ | $21.65 | $17.5 | -$4.15 | 49% 3552-3629 (7181) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $17.15 | — | -$17.15 | 48% 1464-1570 (3034) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $17.33 | $17.35 | +$0.02 | 53% 1555-1392 (2947) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $16.34 | $15 | -$1.34 | 39% 1683-2580 (4263) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $8.6 | $15 | +$6.4 | 48% 2474-2726 (5200) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $17.91 | $15 | -$2.91 | 54% 2644-2228 (4872) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90.6¢ | $13.14 | $13.19 | +$0.05 | 50% 2760-2748 (5508) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $9.03 | $9.1 | +$0.07 | 65% 2731-1490 (4221) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $7.8 | $15 | +$7.2 | 58% 5157-3805 (8962) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 75.7¢ | $6.43 | $6 | +$0.63 | 62% 4514-2735 (7249) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $4.41 | $5 | +$0.59 | 46% 1652-1902 (3554) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $5.4 | $6 | +$0.6 | 42% 2015-2741 (4756) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $13.77 | — | -$13.77 | 48% 2455-2651 (5106) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 70% 1783-757 (2540) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.8¢ | $1.58 | — | -$1.58 | 34% 1202-2379 (3581) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
60%
584-385 (969)
Invested
$501.15
Value
—
PnL
-$500.97
Record
54%
4094-3445 (7539)
Invested
$237.29
Value
$240.38
PnL
+$3.09
Record
98%
4362-90 (4452)
Invested
$158.6
Value
$155
PnL
+$2.25
Record
52%
3756-3495 (7251)
Invested
$105.4
Value
$120.66
PnL
+$15.26
Record
50%
4512-4591 (9103)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$100.24
Value
—
PnL
-$49.52
Record
52%
2477-2332 (4809)
Invested
$35.06
Value
—
PnL
-$35.06
Record
51%
2128-2037 (4165)
Invested
$25.99
Value
$25.14
PnL
-$0.85
Record
67%
3861-1939 (5800)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$14.19
Value
$22.42
PnL
+$8.23
Record
44%
2349-3036 (5385)
Invested
$12.29
Value
$20.6
PnL
+$8.31
Record
60%
4136-2815 (6951)
Invested
$21.65
Value
$17.5
PnL
-$4.15
Record
49%
3552-3629 (7181)
Invested
$17.15
Value
—
PnL
-$17.15
Record
48%
1464-1570 (3034)
Invested
$17.33
Value
$17.35
PnL
+$0.02
Record
53%
1555-1392 (2947)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$16.34
Value
$15
PnL
-$1.34
Record
39%
1683-2580 (4263)
Invested
$8.6
Value
$15
PnL
+$6.4
Record
48%
2474-2726 (5200)
Invested
$17.91
Value
$15
PnL
-$2.91
Record
54%
2644-2228 (4872)
Invested
$13.14
Value
$13.19
PnL
+$0.05
Record
50%
2760-2748 (5508)
Invested
$9.03
Value
$9.1
PnL
+$0.07
Record
65%
2731-1490 (4221)
Invested
$7.8
Value
$15
PnL
+$7.2
Record
58%
5157-3805 (8962)
Invested
$6.43
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.63
Record
62%
4514-2735 (7249)
Invested
$4.41
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.59
Record
46%
1652-1902 (3554)
Invested
$5.4
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.6
Record
42%
2015-2741 (4756)
Invested
$13.77
Value
—
PnL
-$13.77
Record
48%
2455-2651 (5106)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
70%
1783-757 (2540)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.58
Value
—
PnL
-$1.58
Record
34%
1202-2379 (3581)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $240.38
soswald1
Down — $155
asdcaxz
Down — $120.66
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $25.14
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $22.42
aaa221
Down — $20.6